Trump holds Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei?

Held

Mon, Aug 24

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

Official transcript Remarks During a Telerally for Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Mike Mazzei

Also now Bernie Sanders Trump +2 later

8 said 19 not said of 27 words

Not held 27 of 309 past Trump events, 0 of 16 tele-rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 21 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore8¢ All27/52 52% Tele-rallies0/4 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/21 0% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All14/65 22% Tele-rallies0/11 0% Official tele-rallies3/21 14% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All49/127 39% Tele-rallies0/10 0% Official tele-rallies0/21 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/21 0% —
YES Before startBefore40¢ All20/60 33% Tele-rallies6/11 55% Official tele-rallies6/21 29% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All191/257 74% Tele-rallies11/16 69% Official tele-rallies13/21 62% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All7/22 32% Tele-rallies1/9 11% Official tele-rallies2/21 10% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All25/54 46% Tele-rallies3/8 38% Official tele-rallies6/21 29% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/195 5% Tele-rallies0/11 0% Official tele-rallies0/21 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All122/175 70% Tele-rallies11/15 73% Official tele-rallies16/21 76% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All8/30 27% Tele-rallies0/3 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/21 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All13/34 38% Tele-rallies1/3 33% small n Official tele-rallies2/21 10% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All2/2 100% Tele-rallies1/1 100% small n Official tele-rallies16/21 76% Y Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All6/7 86% Tele-rallies1/1 100% small n Official tele-rallies7/21 33% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All17/61 28% Tele-rallies2/10 20% Official tele-rallies3/21 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All121/231 52% Tele-rallies3/15 20% Official tele-rallies3/21 14% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/6 0% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/21 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All14/21 67% Tele-rallies2/5 40% Official tele-rallies6/21 29% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All40/77 52% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/21 5% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All15/26 58% Tele-rallies3/11 27% Official tele-rallies4/21 19% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All13/32 41% Tele-rallies4/12 33% Official tele-rallies5/21 24% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All44/75 59% Tele-rallies2/11 18% Official tele-rallies8/21 38% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All37/78 47% Tele-rallies5/12 42% Official tele-rallies10/21 48% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All20/40 50% Tele-rallies7/10 70% Official tele-rallies7/21 33% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All68/133 51% Tele-rallies3/12 25% Official tele-rallies5/21 24% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All113/171 66% Tele-rallies1/7 14% Official tele-rallies2/21 10% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All36/103 35% Tele-rallies5/12 42% Official tele-rallies12/21 57% Y Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Special for this event

  • Video of the Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tele-Rally with Mike Mazzei will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.