mentions

Trump hosts Team USA Reception

What will Trump say during the Team USA Reception?

Held

Thu, Aug 6

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Reception for United States Olympic and Paralympic Athletes and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

9 said 19 not said of 28 words

Not held 26 of 297 past Trump events, 11 of 167 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 371 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore32¢ All27/51 53% Speeches / ceremonies20/30 67% Official speeches / ceremonies104/371 28% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All11/55 20% Speeches / ceremonies11/33 33% Official speeches / ceremonies61/371 16% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All45/116 39% Speeches / ceremonies31/64 48% Official speeches / ceremonies115/371 31% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All17/51 33% Speeches / ceremonies9/31 29% Official speeches / ceremonies49/371 13% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All20/54 37% Speeches / ceremonies15/42 36% Official speeches / ceremonies51/371 14% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All185/246 75% Speeches / ceremonies104/141 74% Official speeches / ceremonies238/371 64% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies77/371 21% —
NO Before startBefore20¢ All30/46 65% Speeches / ceremonies20/28 71% Official speeches / ceremonies197/371 53% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All8/184 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/109 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/371 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All116/168 69% Speeches / ceremonies63/95 66% Official speeches / ceremonies201/371 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All70/105 67% Speeches / ceremonies45/67 67% Official speeches / ceremonies222/371 60% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All48/85 56% Speeches / ceremonies28/49 57% Official speeches / ceremonies134/371 36% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/371 0% —
NO Before startBefore17¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/371 1% N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies66/371 18% N N N
YES Before startBefore20¢ All7/12 58% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% Official speeches / ceremonies56/371 15% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies66/371 18% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/371 3% —
YES Before startBefore33¢ All118/221 53% Speeches / ceremonies85/128 66% Official speeches / ceremonies151/371 41% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All14/20 70% Speeches / ceremonies9/10 90% Official speeches / ceremonies167/371 45% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/371 2% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All38/64 59% Speeches / ceremonies21/31 68% Official speeches / ceremonies181/371 49% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies62/371 17% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/371 0% —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All64/124 52% Speeches / ceremonies37/70 53% Official speeches / ceremonies104/371 28% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All109/162 67% Speeches / ceremonies70/97 72% Official speeches / ceremonies202/371 54% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All31/93 33% Speeches / ceremonies19/58 33% Official speeches / ceremonies81/371 22% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore22¢ All7/37 19% Speeches / ceremonies5/23 22% Official speeches / ceremonies54/371 15% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT participates in a Team USA Reception, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the THE PRESIDENT participates in a Team USA Reception will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT participates in a Team USA Reception will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker