mentions

What will Trump say during his Punchbowl News interview?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

11 said 11 not said of 22 words

Not held 26 of 298 past Trump events, 1 of 38 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All11/56 20% Interviews0/8 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All45/117 38% Interviews7/22 32% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All23/56 41% Interviews3/9 33% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All185/247 75% Interviews25/34 74% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All7/18 39% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All30/47 64% Interviews4/8 50% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All19/46 41% Interviews2/7 29% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All8/185 4% Interviews1/30 3% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All116/169 69% Interviews19/24 79% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All48/86 56% Interviews10/16 63% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All21/36 58% Interviews1/4 25% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All16/52 31% Interviews1/8 13% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All17/30 57% Interviews2/2 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All6/29 21% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All119/222 54% Interviews10/30 33% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All33/42 79% Interviews8/9 89% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All38/65 58% Interviews10/14 71% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All14/32 44% Interviews3/8 38% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All64/125 51% Interviews14/23 61% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All20/54 37% Interviews1/8 13% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All109/163 67% Interviews12/19 63% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All31/94 33% Interviews3/13 23% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fly Out Day - Punchbowl News interview, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fly Out Day - Punchbowl News interview will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fly Out Day - Punchbowl News interview will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker