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Trump meets with the Artemis II Astronauts

What will Trump say with the Artemis II Astronauts?

Held

Wed, Apr 29

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks During a Greeting With Artemis II Astronauts and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

15 said 11 not said of 26 words

Not held 20 of 207 past Trump events, 10 of 123 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 309 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore51¢ All12/16 75% Speeches / ceremonies10/12 83% Official speeches / ceremonies79/309 26% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies51/309 17% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore81¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/309 1% Y
YES Before startBefore22¢ All10/32 31% Speeches / ceremonies7/25 28% Official speeches / ceremonies30/309 10% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore38¢ All126/168 75% Speeches / ceremonies72/100 72% Official speeches / ceremonies196/309 63% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies53/309 17% N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies84/309 27% —
YES Before startBefore52¢ All67/103 65% Speeches / ceremonies42/67 63% Official speeches / ceremonies159/309 51% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All74/101 73% Speeches / ceremonies40/59 68% Official speeches / ceremonies166/309 54% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies36/309 12% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies61/309 20% Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All78/144 54% Speeches / ceremonies55/87 63% Official speeches / ceremonies118/309 38% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/309 5% —
YES Before startBefore50¢ All34/51 67% Speeches / ceremonies21/35 60% Official speeches / ceremonies115/309 37% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/309 0% —
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies22/309 7% —
NO Before startBefore85¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/309 2% Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/309 0% —
YES Before startBefore98¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/309 0% Y
YES Before startBefore34¢ All18/33 55% Speeches / ceremonies4/17 24% Official speeches / ceremonies60/309 19% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore40¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies77/309 25% —
YES Before startBefore73¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/309 11% Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All16/28 57% Speeches / ceremonies10/17 59% Official speeches / ceremonies132/309 43% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/309 11% Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/309 0% N N N
YES Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/309 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Greeting with Artemis II Astronauts, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Greeting with Artemis II Astronauts will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Greeting with Artemis II Astronauts will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker