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Trump delivers remarks in Las Vegas

What will Trump say during his remarks in Las Vegas?

Held

Wed, Aug 5

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

32 said 12 not said of 44 words

Not held 26 of 294 past Trump events, 11 of 165 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 370 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore87¢ All10/52 19% Speeches / ceremonies10/31 32% Official speeches / ceremonies60/370 16% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All45/113 40% Speeches / ceremonies31/62 50% Official speeches / ceremonies115/370 31% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All16/48 33% Speeches / ceremonies8/29 28% Official speeches / ceremonies48/370 13% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All8/17 47% Speeches / ceremonies6/15 40% Official speeches / ceremonies33/370 9% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore52¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/370 17% N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All22/54 41% Speeches / ceremonies15/31 48% Official speeches / ceremonies44/370 12% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies90/370 24% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/370 1% Y N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All7/16 44% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies65/370 18% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All29/43 67% Speeches / ceremonies19/26 73% Official speeches / ceremonies196/370 53% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies32/370 9% Y Y N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All18/43 42% Speeches / ceremonies11/21 52% Official speeches / ceremonies48/370 13% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All8/181 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/107 7% Official speeches / ceremonies19/370 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies10/370 3% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All114/166 69% Speeches / ceremonies62/94 66% Official speeches / ceremonies200/370 54% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All11/31 35% Speeches / ceremonies7/15 47% Official speeches / ceremonies15/370 4% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All47/82 57% Speeches / ceremonies27/47 57% Official speeches / ceremonies133/370 36% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All20/34 59% Speeches / ceremonies13/20 65% Official speeches / ceremonies159/370 43% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All15/49 31% Speeches / ceremonies11/28 39% Official speeches / ceremonies65/370 18% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All16/57 28% Speeches / ceremonies6/27 22% Official speeches / ceremonies25/370 7% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All116/218 53% Speeches / ceremonies84/126 67% Official speeches / ceremonies150/370 41% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All2/19 11% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies72/370 19% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All32/40 80% Speeches / ceremonies15/21 71% Official speeches / ceremonies101/370 27% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore26¢ All38/72 53% Speeches / ceremonies16/41 39% Official speeches / ceremonies105/370 28% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All12/20 60% Speeches / ceremonies9/11 82% Official speeches / ceremonies79/370 21% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All8/23 35% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies86/370 23% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All7/21 33% Speeches / ceremonies6/14 43% Official speeches / ceremonies57/370 15% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/370 1% N N N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All15/34 44% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies86/370 23% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All10/22 45% Speeches / ceremonies6/14 43% Official speeches / ceremonies51/370 14% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All35/61 57% Speeches / ceremonies19/29 66% Official speeches / ceremonies180/370 49% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All32/70 46% Speeches / ceremonies21/41 51% Official speeches / ceremonies95/370 26% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All13/30 43% Speeches / ceremonies3/11 27% Official speeches / ceremonies34/370 9% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All10/25 40% Speeches / ceremonies7/16 44% Official speeches / ceremonies57/370 15% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies5/5 100% Official speeches / ceremonies93/370 25% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All63/121 52% Speeches / ceremonies36/68 53% Official speeches / ceremonies103/370 28% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All18/52 35% Speeches / ceremonies14/35 40% Official speeches / ceremonies80/370 22% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All107/159 67% Speeches / ceremonies68/95 72% Official speeches / ceremonies201/370 54% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All30/90 33% Speeches / ceremonies18/56 32% Official speeches / ceremonies80/370 22% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/370 6% N N Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All7/10 70% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies18/370 5% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/370 1% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All25/33 76% Speeches / ceremonies17/23 74% Official speeches / ceremonies117/370 32% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/370 4% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker