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Trump NBC Interview

What will Trump say during his NBC interview?

Held

Wed, Feb 4

6:30 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

11 said 7 not said of 18 words

Not held 14 of 150 past Trump events, 1 of 15 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore45¢ All18/44 41% Interviews3/8 38% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All13/25 52% Interviews0/4 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All97/123 79% Interviews11/13 85% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All44/67 66% Interviews3/6 50% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All53/79 67% Interviews3/7 43% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All3/64 5% Interviews0/11 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All49/64 77% Interviews4/5 80% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All20/32 63% Interviews3/7 43% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All3/19 16% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All4/11 36% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All3/6 50% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All57/97 59% Interviews4/11 36% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All6/17 35% Interviews4/5 80% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All9/12 75% Interviews3/3 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All1/4 25% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All16/46 35% Interviews1/5 20% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All60/80 75% Interviews4/7 57% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore66¢ All46/53 87% Interviews6/8 75% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas scheduled at 6:30pm ET and/or Top Story with Tom Llamas scheduled at 7:00pm ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas scheduled at 6:30pm ET and Top Story with Tom Llamas scheduled at 7:00pm ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
  • For the purpose of this market, content broadcasted after 8:01pm ET will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas scheduled at 6:30pm ET and/or Top Story with Tom Llamas scheduled at 7:00pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas scheduled at 6:30pm ET and/or Top Story with Tom Llamas scheduled at 7:00pm ET will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas scheduled at 6:30pm ET and Top Story with Tom Llamas scheduled at 7:00pm ET will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. For the purpose of this market, content broadcasted after 8:01pm ET will not count.

Cases

All cases of this speaker