mentions

Trump holds a Virginia Telerally

What will Trump say during his Virginia Telerally?

Held

Mon, Apr 20

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

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Also now Trump +2 later

6 said 12 not said of 18 words

Not held 19 of 199 past Trump events, 0 of 4 tele-rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 11 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore29¢ All2/9 22% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies3/11 27% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All2/8 25% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All124/162 77% Tele-rallies2/4 50% small n Official tele-rallies6/11 55% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All3/4 75% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/11 9% N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All70/95 74% Tele-rallies3/3 100% small n Official tele-rallies9/11 82% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All5/16 31% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/11 9% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore34¢ All76/137 55% Tele-rallies0/3 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/11 9% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All— Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/6 17% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All2/2 100% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/11 9% Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All13/17 76% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies5/11 45% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All23/48 48% Tele-rallies4/4 100% small n Official tele-rallies7/11 64% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All21/63 33% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All25/40 63% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies2/11 18% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All10/26 38% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/11 9% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All9/10 90% Tele-rallies3/3 100% small n Official tele-rallies9/11 82% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All— Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Telerally on April 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Telerally on April 20th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Telerally on April 20th will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker