mentions

Trump holds bilateral with the President of Turkey

What will Trump say during his bilateral with the President of Turkey?

Held

Tue, Jul 7

8:15 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey and an Exchange With Reporters in Ankara, Turkey

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Also now Trump +1 later

12 said 17 not said of 29 words

Not held 24 of 264 past Trump events, 9 of 45 meetings

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 105 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore21¢ All38/87 44% Meetings4/11 36% Official meetings30/105 29% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All15/35 43% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings15/105 14% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All161/217 74% Meetings27/34 79% Official meetings68/105 65% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All55/81 68% Meetings7/13 54% Official meetings46/105 44% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore23¢ All17/22 77% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings64/105 61% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All10/20 50% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings9/105 9% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All7/155 5% Meetings0/23 0% Official meetings1/105 1% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All102/145 70% Meetings15/22 68% Official meetings48/105 46% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore21¢ All7/24 29% Meetings2/6 33% Official meetings12/105 11% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All7/16 44% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings5/105 5% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore24¢ All60/88 68% Meetings10/16 63% Official meetings58/105 55% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings6/105 6% —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All16/24 67% Meetings3/5 60% Official meetings41/105 39% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All9/13 69% Meetings4/6 67% Official meetings25/105 24% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore32¢ All13/40 33% Meetings1/9 11% Official meetings2/105 2% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All106/192 55% Meetings12/31 39% Official meetings21/105 20% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All26/50 52% Meetings5/9 56% Official meetings37/105 35% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All0/1 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings7/105 7% N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All19/41 46% Meetings7/11 64% Official meetings44/105 42% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All80/110 73% Meetings15/19 79% Official meetings48/105 46% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All47/72 65% Meetings12/14 86% Official meetings40/105 38% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings5/105 5% N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All6/9 67% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings65/105 62% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All57/94 61% Meetings6/12 50% Official meetings19/105 18% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All15/41 37% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings14/105 13% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore26¢ All95/140 68% Meetings19/28 68% Official meetings59/105 56% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All23/66 35% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings15/105 14% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All25/48 52% Meetings7/10 70% Official meetings64/105 61% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All6/28 21% Meetings1/5 20% Official meetings8/105 8% Y N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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