mentions

Trump delivers remarks at Mack Trucks

What will Trump say during his remarks at Mack Trucks?

Held

Tue, Jun 23

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Affordability in Macungie, Pennsylvania

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Also now Trump +2 later

24 said 9 not said of 33 words

Not held 23 of 250 past Trump events, 10 of 144 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 342 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore71¢ All22/39 56% Speeches / ceremonies16/22 73% Official speeches / ceremonies92/342 27% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All5/27 19% Speeches / ceremonies5/15 33% Official speeches / ceremonies53/342 15% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All33/78 42% Speeches / ceremonies23/45 51% Official speeches / ceremonies105/342 31% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/342 0% —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All12/32 38% Speeches / ceremonies7/21 33% Official speeches / ceremonies43/342 13% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All10/24 42% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% Official speeches / ceremonies33/342 10% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All4/18 22% Speeches / ceremonies1/10 10% Official speeches / ceremonies19/342 6% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All152/206 74% Speeches / ceremonies86/120 72% Official speeches / ceremonies217/342 63% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All12/15 80% Speeches / ceremonies7/9 78% Official speeches / ceremonies181/342 53% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All5/142 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/87 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/342 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/342 2% N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All94/134 70% Speeches / ceremonies51/78 65% Official speeches / ceremonies183/342 54% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/342 2% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All32/55 58% Speeches / ceremonies17/31 55% Official speeches / ceremonies122/342 36% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All12/19 63% Speeches / ceremonies8/11 73% Official speeches / ceremonies146/342 43% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All11/31 35% Speeches / ceremonies8/19 42% Official speeches / ceremonies60/342 18% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All16/26 62% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies116/342 34% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies28/342 8% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All12/35 34% Speeches / ceremonies5/17 29% Official speeches / ceremonies18/342 5% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All98/179 55% Speeches / ceremonies70/106 66% Official speeches / ceremonies135/342 39% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All5/5 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies57/342 17% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All23/44 52% Speeches / ceremonies10/26 38% Official speeches / ceremonies96/342 28% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies56/342 16% N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All76/106 72% Speeches / ceremonies40/60 67% Official speeches / ceremonies136/342 40% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All37/62 60% Speeches / ceremonies17/35 49% Official speeches / ceremonies126/342 37% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/342 6% N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/342 3% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All48/81 59% Speeches / ceremonies28/48 58% Official speeches / ceremonies94/342 27% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All91/135 67% Speeches / ceremonies59/82 72% Official speeches / ceremonies186/342 54% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All18/54 33% Speeches / ceremonies12/37 32% Official speeches / ceremonies73/342 21% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/342 1% —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All13/18 72% Speeches / ceremonies9/13 69% Official speeches / ceremonies101/342 30% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All4/18 22% Speeches / ceremonies3/13 23% Official speeches / ceremonies51/342 15% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at Mack Trucks, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks at Mack Trucks will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks at Mack Trucks will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker