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Trump signs the Road to Housing Act

What will Trump say during the Road to Housing Act signing?

Not held (DNQ)

Wed, Jun 24

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now ABC World News +1 later

0 said 27 not said of 27 words

Not held 23 of 251 past Trump events, 10 of 145 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 343 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore65¢ All23/40 58% Speeches / ceremonies17/23 74% Official speeches / ceremonies93/343 27% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All34/79 43% Speeches / ceremonies24/46 52% Official speeches / ceremonies106/343 31% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore81¢ All2/10 20% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies27/343 8% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All17/49 35% Speeches / ceremonies13/39 33% Official speeches / ceremonies40/343 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore80¢ All153/207 74% Speeches / ceremonies87/121 72% Official speeches / ceremonies218/343 64% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/143 3% Speeches / ceremonies5/88 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/343 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore77¢ All95/135 70% Speeches / ceremonies52/79 66% Official speeches / ceremonies184/343 54% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/343 2% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All33/56 59% Speeches / ceremonies18/32 56% Official speeches / ceremonies123/343 36% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/343 3% —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All13/20 65% Speeches / ceremonies9/12 75% Official speeches / ceremonies147/343 43% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All4/17 24% Speeches / ceremonies3/9 33% Official speeches / ceremonies25/343 7% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All13/36 36% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies19/343 6% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All99/180 55% Speeches / ceremonies71/107 66% Official speeches / ceremonies136/343 40% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All18/19 95% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies88/343 26% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All38/63 60% Speeches / ceremonies18/36 50% Official speeches / ceremonies127/343 37% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore80¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies35/343 10% —
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/343 6% —
NO Before startBefore65¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/343 6% N N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/343 3% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All4/15 27% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies25/343 7% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/343 3% —
NO Before startBefore74¢ All49/82 60% Speeches / ceremonies29/49 59% Official speeches / ceremonies95/343 28% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All19/55 35% Speeches / ceremonies13/38 34% Official speeches / ceremonies74/343 22% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/343 1% N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies36/343 10% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All4/19 21% Speeches / ceremonies3/14 21% Official speeches / ceremonies51/343 15% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT signs the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the THE PRESIDENT signs the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT signs the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker