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Trump holds a Health Care Affordability Event

What will Trump say during his Health Care Affordability Event?

Held

Thu, Apr 23

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Health Care Costs and Affordability and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

15 said 20 not said of 35 words

Not held 19 of 202 past Trump events, 9 of 119 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 304 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore81¢ All2/12 17% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies46/304 15% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore20¢ All20/43 47% Speeches / ceremonies16/29 55% Official speeches / ceremonies91/304 30% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All7/21 33% Speeches / ceremonies6/14 43% Official speeches / ceremonies54/304 18% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All125/165 76% Speeches / ceremonies71/98 72% Official speeches / ceremonies193/304 63% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies66/304 22% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/304 6% N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All7/22 32% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies26/304 9% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All66/100 66% Speeches / ceremonies41/65 63% Official speeches / ceremonies157/304 52% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies59/304 19% —
NO Before startBefore4¢ All5/103 5% Speeches / ceremonies5/66 8% Official speeches / ceremonies16/304 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore91¢ All72/98 73% Speeches / ceremonies39/57 68% Official speeches / ceremonies165/304 54% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/304 11% Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/304 4% —
NO Before startBefore43¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies56/304 18% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All6/17 35% Speeches / ceremonies3/13 23% Official speeches / ceremonies21/304 7% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All78/140 56% Speeches / ceremonies55/84 65% Official speeches / ceremonies117/304 38% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore85¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/304 11% N Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All4/4 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies63/304 21% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All11/18 61% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies83/304 27% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/304 3% —
NO Before startBefore52¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies22/304 7% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies47/304 15% Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/304 1% —
NO Before startBefore26¢ All18/30 60% Speeches / ceremonies4/14 29% Official speeches / ceremonies60/304 20% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/304 13% N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All56/81 69% Speeches / ceremonies28/45 62% Official speeches / ceremonies107/304 35% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All13/18 72% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies138/304 45% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/304 4% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/304 0% —
YES Before startBefore42¢ All26/43 60% Speeches / ceremonies17/30 57% Official speeches / ceremonies72/304 24% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All11/28 39% Speeches / ceremonies8/20 40% Official speeches / ceremonies63/304 21% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All78/110 71% Speeches / ceremonies50/67 75% Official speeches / ceremonies168/304 55% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All9/30 30% Speeches / ceremonies7/22 32% Official speeches / ceremonies60/304 20% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/304 4% N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/304 9% N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Health Care Affordability Event, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Health Care Affordability Event will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Health Care Affordability Event will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker