mentions

Trump delivers remarks at Turning Point USA

What will Trump say during his remarks at Turning Point USA?

Held

Fri, Apr 17

5:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Turning Point, U.S.A., Event in Phoenix, Arizona

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

31 said 15 not said of 46 words

Not held 19 of 198 past Trump events, 9 of 117 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 301 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore58¢ All1/8 13% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies45/301 15% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All20/41 49% Speeches / ceremonies16/28 57% Official speeches / ceremonies91/301 30% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/301 8% N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/301 8% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/301 0% N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/301 1% —
YES Before startBefore40¢ All5/19 26% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies25/301 8% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies20/301 7% —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies46/301 15% N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All4/4 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies135/301 45% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All5/100 5% Speeches / ceremonies5/64 8% Official speeches / ceremonies16/301 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies11/301 4% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies29/301 10% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies6/301 2% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All16/29 55% Speeches / ceremonies8/19 42% Official speeches / ceremonies99/301 33% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore47¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies43/301 14% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All4/15 27% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies55/301 18% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All11/18 61% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies103/301 34% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies25/301 8% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All75/136 55% Speeches / ceremonies54/82 66% Official speeches / ceremonies115/301 38% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies60/301 20% Y Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All7/8 88% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies32/301 11% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All17/33 52% Speeches / ceremonies12/19 63% Official speeches / ceremonies106/301 35% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore56¢ All9/15 60% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies82/301 27% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/301 11% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/301 3% —
YES Before startBefore73¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies61/301 20% Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies72/301 24% Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/301 2% —
YES Before startBefore93¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/301 10% Y N N
YES Before startBefore44¢ All17/29 59% Speeches / ceremonies3/13 23% Official speeches / ceremonies59/301 20% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore54¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies122/301 41% —
NO Before startBefore54¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies38/301 13% N N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All21/42 50% Speeches / ceremonies11/25 44% Official speeches / ceremonies103/301 34% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies14/301 5% —
YES Before startBefore86¢ All22/47 47% Speeches / ceremonies12/28 43% Official speeches / ceremonies74/301 25% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore54¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies17/301 6% —
YES Before startBefore48¢ All20/62 32% Speeches / ceremonies9/33 27% Official speeches / ceremonies39/301 13% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies5/9 56% Official speeches / ceremonies39/301 13% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All76/107 71% Speeches / ceremonies49/65 75% Official speeches / ceremonies167/301 55% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All1/10 10% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies18/301 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All8/28 29% Speeches / ceremonies6/20 30% Official speeches / ceremonies59/301 20% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All59/73 81% Speeches / ceremonies42/49 86% Official speeches / ceremonies166/301 55% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All24/35 69% Speeches / ceremonies15/18 83% Official speeches / ceremonies178/301 59% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All7/12 58% Speeches / ceremonies5/9 56% Official speeches / ceremonies81/301 27% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies18/301 6% N N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Turning Point USA: Build the Red Wall, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Turning Point USA: Build the Red Wall will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Turning Point USA: Build the Red Wall will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker