mentions

Trump holds a roundtable on No Tax on Tips

What will Trump say during his roundtable on No Tax on Tips?

Held

Thu, Apr 16

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion on Tax Code Reform in Las Vegas, Nevada

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

22 said 18 not said of 40 words

Not held 19 of 197 past Trump events, 9 of 116 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 300 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore50¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies45/300 15% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/300 8% Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/300 8% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All123/161 76% Speeches / ceremonies70/96 73% Official speeches / ceremonies191/300 64% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All14/21 67% Speeches / ceremonies12/16 75% Official speeches / ceremonies80/300 27% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/300 0% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/300 0% N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All5/18 28% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies25/300 8% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All66/99 67% Speeches / ceremonies41/64 64% Official speeches / ceremonies156/300 52% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All5/99 5% Speeches / ceremonies5/63 8% Official speeches / ceremonies16/300 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All69/94 73% Speeches / ceremonies38/55 69% Official speeches / ceremonies162/300 54% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/300 1% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All30/46 65% Speeches / ceremonies16/27 59% Official speeches / ceremonies39/300 13% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies51/300 17% —
YES Before startBefore48¢ All15/28 54% Speeches / ceremonies7/18 39% Official speeches / ceremonies98/300 33% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies48/300 16% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All4/14 29% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies55/300 18% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All10/17 59% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies102/300 34% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/300 0% N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All6/17 35% Speeches / ceremonies3/10 30% Official speeches / ceremonies6/300 2% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All74/135 55% Speeches / ceremonies53/81 65% Official speeches / ceremonies114/300 38% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore15¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies59/300 20% Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All16/32 50% Speeches / ceremonies11/18 61% Official speeches / ceremonies105/300 35% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies82/300 27% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/300 11% N N N Y
YES Before startBefore56¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies60/300 20% —
YES Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/300 1% —
NO Before startBefore30¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies82/300 27% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/300 9% N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies14/300 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All54/79 68% Speeches / ceremonies27/44 61% Official speeches / ceremonies105/300 35% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies44/300 15% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All20/41 49% Speeches / ceremonies10/24 42% Official speeches / ceremonies102/300 34% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/300 4% N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies78/300 26% Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All24/39 62% Speeches / ceremonies16/28 57% Official speeches / ceremonies71/300 24% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All75/106 71% Speeches / ceremonies48/64 75% Official speeches / ceremonies166/300 55% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All58/72 81% Speeches / ceremonies41/48 85% Official speeches / ceremonies165/300 55% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/300 4% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/300 4% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Roundtable on No Tax on Tips, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Roundtable on No Tax on Tips will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Roundtable on No Tax on Tips will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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