mentions

Trump makes a EPA Announcement

What will Trump say during his EPA Announcement?

Held

Thu, May 21

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Commercial Refrigeration Regulations and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +2 later

15 said 16 not said of 31 words

Not held 21 of 227 past Trump events, 10 of 136 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 328 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore31¢ All23/62 37% Speeches / ceremonies13/36 36% Official speeches / ceremonies35/328 11% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All26/60 43% Speeches / ceremonies20/39 51% Official speeches / ceremonies99/328 30% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/328 5% Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All16/41 39% Speeches / ceremonies12/33 36% Official speeches / ceremonies39/328 12% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies27/328 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All136/186 73% Speeches / ceremonies79/112 71% Official speeches / ceremonies207/328 63% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies71/328 22% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/328 1% Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies173/328 53% Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All5/123 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/80 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/328 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/328 2% —
YES Before startBefore80¢ All82/117 70% Speeches / ceremonies47/72 65% Official speeches / ceremonies175/328 53% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All7/14 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies34/328 10% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All49/72 68% Speeches / ceremonies34/48 71% Official speeches / ceremonies196/328 60% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/9 22% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies36/328 11% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/328 1% Y Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies59/328 18% Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/328 0% —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All13/23 57% Speeches / ceremonies9/15 60% Official speeches / ceremonies112/328 34% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/328 9% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All6/18 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/14 21% Official speeches / ceremonies21/328 6% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All90/162 56% Speeches / ceremonies66/100 66% Official speeches / ceremonies130/328 40% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies133/328 41% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies23/328 7% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore13¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies38/328 12% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All66/95 69% Speeches / ceremonies35/54 65% Official speeches / ceremonies126/328 38% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore77¢ All27/50 54% Speeches / ceremonies15/31 48% Official speeches / ceremonies118/328 36% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/328 1% N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All35/61 57% Speeches / ceremonies23/41 56% Official speeches / ceremonies85/328 26% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore13¢ All11/41 27% Speeches / ceremonies8/31 26% Official speeches / ceremonies66/328 20% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All4/14 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies18/328 5% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement with the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement with the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement with the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker