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Trump holds Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable

What will Trump say during the Memphis Safety Roundtable?

Held

Mon, Mar 23

12:40 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks During a Roundtable Discussion With the Memphis Safe Task Force in Memphis, Tennessee

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

16 said 16 not said of 32 words

Not held 16 of 179 past Trump events, 8 of 106 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 288 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore14¢ All19/35 54% Speeches / ceremonies15/22 68% Official speeches / ceremonies90/288 31% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/288 0% N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All112/147 76% Speeches / ceremonies65/88 74% Official speeches / ceremonies183/288 64% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies31/288 11% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/13 31% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/288 9% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies45/288 16% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All4/88 5% Speeches / ceremonies4/56 7% Official speeches / ceremonies15/288 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/288 9% N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All3/10 30% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies54/288 19% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies96/288 33% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore22¢ All68/121 56% Speeches / ceremonies48/72 67% Official speeches / ceremonies109/288 38% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All1/14 7% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies54/288 19% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/288 9% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All10/32 31% Speeches / ceremonies5/17 29% Official speeches / ceremonies44/288 15% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All13/24 54% Speeches / ceremonies8/14 57% Official speeches / ceremonies128/288 44% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All29/41 71% Speeches / ceremonies17/26 65% Official speeches / ceremonies99/288 34% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore31¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies78/288 27% N N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies71/288 25% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All7/22 32% Speeches / ceremonies4/11 36% Official speeches / ceremonies49/288 17% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore— All50/73 68% Speeches / ceremonies25/40 63% Official speeches / ceremonies97/288 34% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/288 14% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All12/30 40% Speeches / ceremonies5/16 31% Official speeches / ceremonies95/288 33% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies52/288 18% N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/288 10% N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore60¢ All19/40 48% Speeches / ceremonies9/23 39% Official speeches / ceremonies70/288 24% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/288 5% —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/288 3% N Y
YES Before startBefore54¢ All16/53 30% Speeches / ceremonies6/27 22% Official speeches / ceremonies35/288 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All71/97 73% Speeches / ceremonies45/57 79% Official speeches / ceremonies163/288 57% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore40¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/288 7% N N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All4/21 19% Speeches / ceremonies2/14 14% Official speeches / ceremonies54/288 19% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All56/69 81% Speeches / ceremonies39/45 87% Official speeches / ceremonies161/288 56% Y N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Video of the Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable will be used.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker