mentions

Trump attends Chicago Opening Night

What will Trump say during Chicago Opening Night?

Not held (DNQ)

Tue, Mar 31

7:30 PM ET /

Trump

Other

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Also now Trump +2 later

0 said 16 not said of 16 words

Not held 16 of 188 past Trump events

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Official transcripts · 565 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

NO Before startBefore30¢ All119/155 77% Official transcripts337/565 60% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All4/4 100% Official transcripts235/565 42% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All3/7 43% Official transcripts22/565 4% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All1/1 100% Official transcripts414/565 73% Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All67/89 75% Official transcripts271/565 48% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All1/1 100% Official transcripts80/565 14% Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All33/46 72% Official transcripts203/565 36% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All5/10 50% Official transcripts150/565 27% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore77¢ All2/3 67% Official transcripts72/565 13% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All4/11 36% Official transcripts136/565 24% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All0/1 0% Official transcripts16/565 3% N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All14/25 56% Official transcripts131/565 23% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All12/16 75% Official transcripts232/565 41% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All20/60 33% Official transcripts68/565 12% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All10/24 42% Official transcripts92/565 16% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All22/33 67% Official transcripts281/565 50% Y Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official transcripts: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Chicago Opening Night, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Chicago Opening Night will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Chicago Opening Night will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker