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Trump holds Tele-Rally with Megan Degenfelder

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Megan Degenfelder?

Held

Thu, Aug 6

6:15 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

Official transcript Remarks During a Telerally for Wyoming Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Megan Degenfelder

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

8 said 16 not said of 24 words

Not held 26 of 296 past Trump events, 0 of 13 tele-rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 18 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore9¢ All11/54 20% Tele-rallies0/8 0% Official tele-rallies3/18 17% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All45/115 39% Tele-rallies0/7 0% Official tele-rallies0/18 0% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All17/50 34% Tele-rallies5/8 63% Official tele-rallies5/18 28% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All184/245 75% Tele-rallies10/13 77% Official tele-rallies12/18 67% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All7/17 41% Tele-rallies1/6 17% Official tele-rallies2/18 11% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All30/45 67% Tele-rallies0/2 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/18 6% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore24¢ All2/4 50% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/18 0% N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All19/45 42% Tele-rallies2/5 40% Official tele-rallies5/18 28% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All8/183 4% Tele-rallies0/8 0% Official tele-rallies0/18 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All115/167 69% Tele-rallies8/12 67% Official tele-rallies13/18 72% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All8/25 32% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/18 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All69/104 66% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies16/18 89% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All4/6 67% Tele-rallies1/1 100% small n Official tele-rallies16/18 89% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All48/84 57% Tele-rallies0/3 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/18 0% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All16/51 31% Tele-rallies1/7 14% Official tele-rallies2/18 11% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore20¢ All117/220 53% Tele-rallies2/12 17% Official tele-rallies2/18 11% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All13/21 62% Tele-rallies3/8 38% Official tele-rallies4/18 22% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All9/24 38% Tele-rallies2/9 22% Official tele-rallies3/18 17% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All37/63 59% Tele-rallies1/8 13% Official tele-rallies7/18 39% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All33/71 46% Tele-rallies5/9 56% Official tele-rallies10/18 56% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All14/31 45% Tele-rallies6/7 86% Official tele-rallies6/18 33% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All64/123 52% Tele-rallies2/9 22% Official tele-rallies4/18 22% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All109/161 68% Tele-rallies1/4 25% small n Official tele-rallies2/18 11% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All31/92 34% Tele-rallies5/9 56% Official tele-rallies12/18 67% N Y N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Tele-Rally with Megan Degenfelder, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Tele-Rally with Megan Degenfelder will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tele-Rally with Megan Degenfelder will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker