mentions

Trump delivers remarks in Georgia

What will Trump say during his remarks in Georgia?

Held

Wed, Jul 22

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks in Marietta, Georgia

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Also now Trump +2 later

29 said 11 not said of 40 words

Not held 24 of 277 past Trump events, 11 of 156 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 359 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore39¢ All26/47 55% Speeches / ceremonies19/26 73% Official speeches / ceremonies102/359 28% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All7/39 18% Speeches / ceremonies7/23 30% Official speeches / ceremonies57/359 16% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All41/100 41% Speeches / ceremonies28/55 51% Official speeches / ceremonies110/359 31% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All7/16 44% Speeches / ceremonies5/14 36% Official speeches / ceremonies31/359 9% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All17/45 38% Speeches / ceremonies10/24 42% Official speeches / ceremonies39/359 11% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All169/229 74% Speeches / ceremonies94/131 72% Official speeches / ceremonies228/359 64% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All19/27 70% Speeches / ceremonies17/22 77% Official speeches / ceremonies95/359 26% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/52 15% Speeches / ceremonies2/21 10% Official speeches / ceremonies30/359 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/359 9% N N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies70/359 19% Y
NO Before startBefore85¢ All23/31 74% Speeches / ceremonies15/19 79% Official speeches / ceremonies191/359 53% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All11/29 38% Speeches / ceremonies7/13 54% Official speeches / ceremonies44/359 12% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All7/167 4% Speeches / ceremonies6/98 6% Official speeches / ceremonies18/359 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies67/359 19% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All40/70 57% Speeches / ceremonies22/39 56% Official speeches / ceremonies129/359 36% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies78/359 22% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All17/27 63% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies156/359 43% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All13/41 32% Speeches / ceremonies10/25 40% Official speeches / ceremonies62/359 17% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All7/14 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies29/359 8% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All109/203 54% Speeches / ceremonies78/117 67% Official speeches / ceremonies144/359 40% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All14/40 35% Speeches / ceremonies8/21 38% Official speeches / ceremonies58/359 16% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All25/30 83% Speeches / ceremonies10/13 77% Official speeches / ceremonies95/359 26% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All34/62 55% Speeches / ceremonies14/34 41% Official speeches / ceremonies103/359 29% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All1/10 10% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies41/359 11% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore54¢ All10/14 71% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies76/359 21% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies82/359 23% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore27¢ All13/32 41% Speeches / ceremonies4/12 33% Official speeches / ceremonies82/359 23% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All30/50 60% Speeches / ceremonies16/24 67% Official speeches / ceremonies173/359 48% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore25¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/359 6% Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All27/59 46% Speeches / ceremonies16/34 47% Official speeches / ceremonies90/359 25% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All9/12 75% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies150/359 42% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All10/25 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies31/359 9% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All4/4 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies91/359 25% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All58/106 55% Speeches / ceremonies34/59 58% Official speeches / ceremonies101/359 28% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All15/46 33% Speeches / ceremonies11/29 38% Official speeches / ceremonies76/359 21% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All99/147 67% Speeches / ceremonies64/89 72% Official speeches / ceremonies195/359 54% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All24/76 32% Speeches / ceremonies15/47 32% Official speeches / ceremonies77/359 21% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All5/8 63% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies16/359 4% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All20/27 74% Speeches / ceremonies13/18 72% Official speeches / ceremonies112/359 31% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies4/359 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Marietta, Georgia, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks in Marietta, Georgia will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks in Marietta, Georgia will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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