mentions

Trump delivers a Transportation Announcement

What will Trump say during his Transportation Announcement?

Held

Wed, Jul 29

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Efforts To Renovate Washington Dulles International Airport and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

11 said 26 not said of 37 words

Not held 26 of 287 past Trump events, 11 of 162 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 367 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore41¢ All43/106 41% Speeches / ceremonies30/59 51% Official speeches / ceremonies114/367 31% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All14/41 34% Speeches / ceremonies8/26 31% Official speeches / ceremonies48/367 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/367 1% —
YES Before startBefore11¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/367 2% —
YES Before startBefore81¢ All177/237 75% Speeches / ceremonies100/137 73% Official speeches / ceremonies234/367 64% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/367 1% —
NO Before startBefore27¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/367 2% —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/56 14% Speeches / ceremonies2/24 8% Official speeches / ceremonies30/367 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore28¢ All6/14 43% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/367 17% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All26/37 70% Speeches / ceremonies18/23 78% Official speeches / ceremonies195/367 53% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All15/36 42% Speeches / ceremonies10/18 56% Official speeches / ceremonies47/367 13% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All8/175 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/104 7% Official speeches / ceremonies19/367 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/367 1% —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All110/159 69% Speeches / ceremonies60/91 66% Official speeches / ceremonies198/367 54% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All8/24 33% Speeches / ceremonies5/18 28% Official speeches / ceremonies35/367 10% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All10/32 31% Speeches / ceremonies2/13 15% Official speeches / ceremonies46/367 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All10/27 37% Speeches / ceremonies7/14 50% Official speeches / ceremonies15/367 4% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All2/13 15% Speeches / ceremonies1/11 9% Official speeches / ceremonies41/367 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All44/76 58% Speeches / ceremonies26/44 59% Official speeches / ceremonies132/367 36% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies14/367 4% —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All6/28 21% Speeches / ceremonies3/20 15% Official speeches / ceremonies21/367 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All16/56 29% Speeches / ceremonies6/26 23% Official speeches / ceremonies25/367 7% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All115/211 55% Speeches / ceremonies83/123 67% Official speeches / ceremonies149/367 41% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All8/12 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies66/367 18% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All37/67 55% Speeches / ceremonies16/38 42% Official speeches / ceremonies105/367 29% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/367 0% N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies26/367 7% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/367 1% Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All21/47 45% Speeches / ceremonies6/21 29% Official speeches / ceremonies70/367 19% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All31/54 57% Speeches / ceremonies17/26 65% Official speeches / ceremonies178/367 49% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore48¢ All9/14 64% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies150/367 41% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies44/367 12% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All61/114 54% Speeches / ceremonies36/65 55% Official speeches / ceremonies103/367 28% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All104/152 68% Speeches / ceremonies67/92 73% Official speeches / ceremonies200/367 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All28/84 33% Speeches / ceremonies18/53 34% Official speeches / ceremonies80/367 22% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All28/55 51% Speeches / ceremonies13/31 42% Official speeches / ceremonies114/367 31% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/367 2% N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker