mentions

Trump joins Fox & Friends

What will Trump say during Fox News: Fox & Friends?

Held

Tue, Jul 28

8:30 AM ET /

Trump

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

7 said 17 not said of 24 words

Not held 24 of 283 past Trump events, 1 of 36 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore32¢ All43/104 41% Interviews6/20 30% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All175/235 74% Interviews23/32 72% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All8/55 15% Interviews2/11 18% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All6/12 50% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All26/35 74% Interviews3/6 50% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All14/34 41% Interviews1/5 20% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All8/173 5% Interviews1/29 3% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All109/157 69% Interviews17/22 77% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All8/23 35% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All10/31 32% Interviews2/5 40% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All10/25 40% Interviews1/4 25% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All44/75 59% Interviews9/14 64% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All6/27 22% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All16/55 29% Interviews6/12 50% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All114/209 55% Interviews9/28 32% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All8/11 73% Interviews1/3 33% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All36/66 55% Interviews10/11 91% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All21/46 46% Interviews4/6 67% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore84¢ All31/52 60% Interviews9/12 75% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All9/13 69% Interviews2/2 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All60/112 54% Interviews12/21 57% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All102/150 68% Interviews10/17 59% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All27/82 33% Interviews3/12 25% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All27/54 50% Interviews4/6 67% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: Fox & Friends, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: Fox & Friends will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Fox & Friends will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker