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Trump appears on Fox News at Night

What will Trump say during Fox News at Night?

Held

Tue, Aug 4

11:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

15 said 19 not said of 34 words

Not held 26 of 293 past Trump events, 1 of 37 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore20¢ All10/51 20% Interviews0/7 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore21¢ All44/112 39% Interviews6/21 29% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All16/47 34% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All22/53 42% Interviews3/8 38% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All182/243 75% Interviews24/33 73% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore47¢ All28/42 67% Interviews3/7 43% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All17/42 40% Interviews1/6 17% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All113/165 68% Interviews18/23 78% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All11/30 37% Interviews1/5 20% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All46/81 57% Interviews9/15 60% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All20/33 61% Interviews1/3 33% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All15/48 31% Interviews1/7 14% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore78¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
NO Before startBefore50¢ All116/217 53% Interviews10/29 34% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All2/18 11% Interviews0/4 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All18/34 53% Interviews2/4 50% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All31/39 79% Interviews7/8 88% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All38/71 54% Interviews11/12 92% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
NO Before startBefore47¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore27¢ All6/20 30% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore54¢ All14/33 42% Interviews4/7 57% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All34/60 57% Interviews9/13 69% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/3 33% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All13/29 45% Interviews3/7 43% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All5/5 100% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All62/120 52% Interviews13/22 59% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All106/158 67% Interviews11/18 61% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All1/2 50% Interviews1/1 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All1/2 50% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All24/32 75% Interviews2/3 67% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of Fox News at Night will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News at Night will be used.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News at Night, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of Fox News at Night will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News at Night will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker