Trump holds Tele-Rally for Julia Letlow

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally for Julia Letlow?

Held

Thu, Jun 25

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

Official transcript Remarks During a Telerally for Louisiana Republican Senatorial Candidate Representative Julia Letlow

Also now Trump +2 later

11 said 10 not said of 21 words

Not held 24 of 254 past Trump events, 0 of 9 tele-rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 14 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore43¢ All23/40 58% Tele-rallies0/3 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/14 0% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All14/34 41% Tele-rallies3/4 75% small n Official tele-rallies3/14 21% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All11/26 42% Tele-rallies0/2 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/14 0% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All154/208 74% Tele-rallies7/9 78% Official tele-rallies9/14 64% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All54/80 68% Tele-rallies5/5 100% Official tele-rallies12/14 86% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All6/15 40% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies3/14 21% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All5/145 3% Tele-rallies0/4 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/14 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All96/136 71% Tele-rallies7/8 88% Official tele-rallies12/14 86% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/2 50% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies12/14 86% Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All6/12 50% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/14 0% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All17/27 63% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/14 7% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All101/182 55% Tele-rallies2/8 25% Official tele-rallies2/14 14% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore51¢ All40/58 69% Tele-rallies2/2 100% small n Official tele-rallies3/14 21% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All25/46 54% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies1/14 7% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore54¢ All7/10 70% Tele-rallies2/4 50% small n Official tele-rallies3/14 21% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All5/10 50% Tele-rallies2/5 40% Official tele-rallies3/14 21% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All— Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/14 0% —
YES Before startBefore79¢ All39/64 61% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies2/14 14% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All5/17 29% Tele-rallies3/3 100% small n Official tele-rallies3/14 21% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All50/84 60% Tele-rallies1/5 20% Official tele-rallies3/14 21% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All20/56 36% Tele-rallies2/5 40% Official tele-rallies9/14 64% Y Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Tele-Rally with Julia Letlow, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Tele-Rally with Julia Letlow will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tele-Rally with Julia Letlow will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.