mentions

Trump Cabinet Meeting

What will Trump say during his cabinet meeting?

Held

Fri, Jul 31

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters at Camp David, Maryland

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

17 said 13 not said of 30 words

Not held 26 of 291 past Trump events, 11 of 50 meetings

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 109 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All10/49 20% Meetings0/4 0% small n Official meetings11/109 10% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All44/110 40% Meetings5/14 36% Official meetings31/109 28% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All16/45 36% Meetings— Official meetings4/109 4% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All21/51 41% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings15/109 14% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All180/241 75% Meetings30/37 81% Official meetings71/109 65% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All56/83 67% Meetings7/14 50% Official meetings47/109 43% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All8/58 14% Meetings2/12 17% Official meetings15/109 14% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All27/40 68% Meetings3/4 75% small n Official meetings66/109 61% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All16/40 40% Meetings1/6 17% Official meetings9/109 8% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All8/179 4% Meetings0/25 0% Official meetings1/109 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All14/15 93% Meetings5/5 100% Official meetings89/109 82% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All111/163 68% Meetings15/23 65% Official meetings48/109 44% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All10/33 30% Meetings4/9 44% Official meetings14/109 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings6/109 6% N N
YES Before startBefore— All68/101 67% Meetings11/18 61% Official meetings60/109 55% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All44/79 56% Meetings4/8 50% Official meetings34/109 31% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All— Meetings— Official meetings0/109 0% —
YES Before startBefore— All19/31 61% Meetings3/6 50% Official meetings43/109 39% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All14/46 30% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings22/109 20% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All116/215 54% Meetings12/33 36% Official meetings21/109 19% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore— All29/37 78% Meetings7/7 100% Official meetings32/109 29% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore— All37/69 54% Meetings7/12 58% Official meetings39/109 36% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore— All32/58 55% Meetings2/6 33% Official meetings52/109 48% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All31/68 46% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings15/109 14% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/8 50% Meetings— Official meetings3/109 3% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All61/118 52% Meetings6/14 43% Official meetings19/109 17% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All105/156 67% Meetings20/30 67% Official meetings61/109 56% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All29/88 33% Meetings1/5 20% Official meetings15/109 14% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings0/109 0% N
YES Before startBefore— All28/56 50% Meetings8/12 67% Official meetings66/109 61% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Cabinet Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Cabinet Meeting will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Cabinet Meeting will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker