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Trump makes an announcement on American Nuclear Innovation

What will Trump say during his announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?

Held

Fri, Jul 24

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on United States Nuclear Innovation and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

19 said 19 not said of 38 words

Not held 24 of 280 past Trump events, 11 of 159 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 362 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore24¢ All8/42 19% Speeches / ceremonies8/26 31% Official speeches / ceremonies58/362 16% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore24¢ All18/47 38% Speeches / ceremonies11/26 42% Official speeches / ceremonies40/362 11% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All172/232 74% Speeches / ceremonies97/134 72% Official speeches / ceremonies231/362 64% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All24/33 73% Speeches / ceremonies16/21 76% Official speeches / ceremonies192/362 53% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore48¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/362 9% Y N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All13/31 42% Speeches / ceremonies9/15 60% Official speeches / ceremonies46/362 13% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All8/170 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/101 7% Official speeches / ceremonies19/362 5% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/362 3% Y N N N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All106/154 69% Speeches / ceremonies57/88 65% Official speeches / ceremonies194/362 54% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All8/21 38% Speeches / ceremonies5/16 31% Official speeches / ceremonies35/362 10% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All8/22 36% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies13/362 4% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All66/98 67% Speeches / ceremonies43/62 69% Official speeches / ceremonies217/362 60% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies41/362 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/362 2% N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies68/362 19% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All42/72 58% Speeches / ceremonies24/41 59% Official speeches / ceremonies130/362 36% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All19/33 58% Speeches / ceremonies13/22 59% Official speeches / ceremonies121/362 33% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/362 0% —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All4/6 67% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies33/362 9% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All6/25 24% Speeches / ceremonies3/18 17% Official speeches / ceremonies21/362 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All16/53 30% Speeches / ceremonies6/24 25% Official speeches / ceremonies25/362 7% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All111/206 54% Speeches / ceremonies80/120 67% Official speeches / ceremonies146/362 40% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All9/10 90% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies171/362 47% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All26/33 79% Speeches / ceremonies11/16 69% Official speeches / ceremonies96/362 27% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore40¢ All34/63 54% Speeches / ceremonies14/35 40% Official speeches / ceremonies103/362 28% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies3/9 33% Official speeches / ceremonies42/362 12% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All53/81 65% Speeches / ceremonies26/44 59% Official speeches / ceremonies140/362 39% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/362 3% N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All29/61 48% Speeches / ceremonies18/36 50% Official speeches / ceremonies92/362 25% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies111/362 31% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/362 1% N N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All59/109 54% Speeches / ceremonies35/62 56% Official speeches / ceremonies102/362 28% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore8¢ All15/48 31% Speeches / ceremonies11/31 35% Official speeches / ceremonies76/362 21% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All100/148 68% Speeches / ceremonies65/90 72% Official speeches / ceremonies196/362 54% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All26/79 33% Speeches / ceremonies17/50 34% Official speeches / ceremonies79/362 22% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All22/29 76% Speeches / ceremonies15/20 75% Official speeches / ceremonies114/362 31% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All6/20 30% Speeches / ceremonies3/13 23% Official speeches / ceremonies23/362 6% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies14/362 4% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker