mentions

White House Correspondents' Dinner

What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

Held

Fri, Jul 24

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

19 said 25 not said of 44 words

Not held 24 of 281 past Trump events, 11 of 160 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 362 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore58¢ All26/49 53% Speeches / ceremonies19/28 68% Official speeches / ceremonies102/362 28% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All9/43 21% Speeches / ceremonies9/27 33% Official speeches / ceremonies58/362 16% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All42/102 41% Speeches / ceremonies29/57 51% Official speeches / ceremonies112/362 31% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies63/362 17% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All8/26 31% Speeches / ceremonies7/18 39% Official speeches / ceremonies58/362 16% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All19/52 37% Speeches / ceremonies14/40 35% Official speeches / ceremonies46/362 13% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All19/48 40% Speeches / ceremonies12/27 44% Official speeches / ceremonies40/362 11% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All173/233 74% Speeches / ceremonies98/135 73% Official speeches / ceremonies231/362 64% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/362 2% N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies31/362 9% N N N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/362 17% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All73/110 66% Speeches / ceremonies48/74 65% Official speeches / ceremonies190/362 52% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/362 4% N
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/362 0% —
NO Before startBefore52¢ All13/32 41% Speeches / ceremonies9/16 56% Official speeches / ceremonies46/362 13% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/171 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/102 7% Official speeches / ceremonies19/362 5% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All107/155 69% Speeches / ceremonies58/89 65% Official speeches / ceremonies194/362 54% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All8/23 35% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies13/362 4% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All4/37 11% Speeches / ceremonies1/23 4% Official speeches / ceremonies5/362 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All42/73 58% Speeches / ceremonies24/42 57% Official speeches / ceremonies130/362 36% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All18/28 64% Speeches / ceremonies12/16 75% Official speeches / ceremonies158/362 44% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All6/26 23% Speeches / ceremonies3/19 16% Official speeches / ceremonies21/362 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All16/54 30% Speeches / ceremonies6/25 24% Official speeches / ceremonies25/362 7% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All112/207 54% Speeches / ceremonies81/121 67% Official speeches / ceremonies146/362 40% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies101/362 28% —
YES Before startBefore32¢ All27/34 79% Speeches / ceremonies12/17 71% Official speeches / ceremonies96/362 27% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore17¢ All35/64 55% Speeches / ceremonies15/36 42% Official speeches / ceremonies103/362 28% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All1/11 9% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies41/362 11% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore31¢ All6/18 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies83/362 23% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All1/6 17% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies17/362 5% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/362 7% N N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All54/82 66% Speeches / ceremonies27/45 60% Official speeches / ceremonies140/362 39% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore53¢ All29/62 47% Speeches / ceremonies18/37 49% Official speeches / ceremonies92/362 25% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All16/32 50% Speeches / ceremonies10/19 53% Official speeches / ceremonies145/362 40% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All10/24 42% Speeches / ceremonies7/15 47% Official speeches / ceremonies54/362 15% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All59/110 54% Speeches / ceremonies35/63 56% Official speeches / ceremonies102/362 28% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All16/49 33% Speeches / ceremonies12/32 38% Official speeches / ceremonies76/362 21% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies22/362 6% N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All26/80 33% Speeches / ceremonies17/51 33% Official speeches / ceremonies79/362 22% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore18¢ All1/11 9% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies17/362 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All23/30 77% Speeches / ceremonies16/21 76% Official speeches / ceremonies114/362 31% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/362 1% —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All7/35 20% Speeches / ceremonies5/21 24% Official speeches / ceremonies54/362 15% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/8 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/8 0% Official speeches / ceremonies4/362 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker