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Trump delivers announcement on Freedom Haulers

What will Trump say during his announcement on Freedom Haulers?

Held

Thu, Jul 30

1:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Announcing the Freedom Haulers Initiative

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

4 said 25 not said of 29 words

Not held 26 of 290 past Trump events, 11 of 163 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 368 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore19¢ All10/48 21% Speeches / ceremonies10/29 34% Official speeches / ceremonies60/368 16% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All44/109 40% Speeches / ceremonies31/60 52% Official speeches / ceremonies115/368 31% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All16/44 36% Speeches / ceremonies8/27 30% Official speeches / ceremonies48/368 13% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/368 0% —
NO Before startBefore16¢ All21/50 42% Speeches / ceremonies14/29 48% Official speeches / ceremonies43/368 12% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All179/240 75% Speeches / ceremonies101/138 73% Official speeches / ceremonies235/368 64% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All55/82 67% Speeches / ceremonies31/46 67% Official speeches / ceremonies203/368 55% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies90/368 24% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/368 1% —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/57 14% Speeches / ceremonies2/25 8% Official speeches / ceremonies30/368 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All27/39 69% Speeches / ceremonies19/24 79% Official speeches / ceremonies196/368 53% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All16/39 41% Speeches / ceremonies10/19 53% Official speeches / ceremonies47/368 13% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All8/178 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/105 7% Official speeches / ceremonies19/368 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All111/162 69% Speeches / ceremonies61/92 66% Official speeches / ceremonies199/368 54% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/368 4% N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All68/100 68% Speeches / ceremonies45/64 70% Official speeches / ceremonies221/368 60% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All44/78 56% Speeches / ceremonies26/45 58% Official speeches / ceremonies132/368 36% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All19/30 63% Speeches / ceremonies13/18 72% Official speeches / ceremonies159/368 43% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All14/45 31% Speeches / ceremonies11/26 42% Official speeches / ceremonies65/368 18% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore60¢ All116/214 54% Speeches / ceremonies84/124 68% Official speeches / ceremonies150/368 41% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies41/368 11% Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All29/36 81% Speeches / ceremonies14/19 74% Official speeches / ceremonies100/368 27% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All37/68 54% Speeches / ceremonies16/39 41% Official speeches / ceremonies105/368 29% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All32/57 56% Speeches / ceremonies18/27 67% Official speeches / ceremonies179/368 49% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore32¢ All30/67 45% Speeches / ceremonies19/39 49% Official speeches / ceremonies93/368 25% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All61/117 52% Speeches / ceremonies36/66 55% Official speeches / ceremonies103/368 28% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All105/155 68% Speeches / ceremonies68/93 73% Official speeches / ceremonies201/368 55% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All29/87 33% Speeches / ceremonies18/54 33% Official speeches / ceremonies80/368 22% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore56¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/368 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on Freedom Haulers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement on Freedom Haulers will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement on Freedom Haulers will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker