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KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR17

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Time TBA

Trump

Meeting

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

0 said 24 open of 24 words

Not held 16 of 176 past Trump events, 5 of 30 meetings Kalshi’s market “Event does not qualify”: Yes bid / ask 0¢ / 0¢

Choose events
Word Yes bid / ask All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 93 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

0¢ / 0¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings7/93 8% Y
0¢ / 0¢ All110/144 76% Meetings21/23 91% Official meetings61/93 66% Y N N Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All2/2 100% Meetings— Official meetings16/93 17% Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All49/72 68% Meetings7/12 58% Official meetings43/93 46% Y Y Y Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All4/85 5% Meetings0/13 0% Official meetings1/93 1% N N N Y N
0¢ / 0¢ All61/82 74% Meetings11/15 73% Official meetings42/93 45% N Y N N Y
0¢ / 0¢ All1/4 25% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings0/93 0% N N N Y
0¢ / 0¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings1/93 1% —
0¢ / 0¢ All9/19 47% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings29/93 31% Y N Y Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All2/4 50% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings27/93 29% N Y Y N
0¢ / 0¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings7/93 8% Y
0¢ / 0¢ All0/4 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings1/93 1% N N N N
0¢ / 0¢ All68/118 58% Meetings9/21 43% Official meetings18/93 19% N N Y N N
0¢ / 0¢ All0/6 0% Meetings0/4 0% small n Official meetings19/93 20% N N N N N
0¢ / 0¢ All27/38 71% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings39/93 42% Y Y Y Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings31/93 33% N
0¢ / 0¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings4/93 4% N
0¢ / 0¢ All2/6 33% Meetings— Official meetings14/93 15% Y N N Y N
0¢ / 0¢ All49/71 69% Meetings11/13 85% Official meetings39/93 42% Y Y Y Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All11/27 41% Meetings3/5 60% Official meetings30/93 32% Y Y Y N Y
0¢ / 0¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/93 0% —
0¢ / 0¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings0/93 0% Y
0¢ / 0¢ All71/96 74% Meetings16/19 84% Official meetings55/93 59% Y N Y Y Y
0¢ / 0¢ All4/9 44% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings10/93 11% Y Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Yes bid / ask, such as 70¢ / 75¢: the best price to sell Yes on Kalshi, then the best price to buy it.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the Bilateral Meetings on March 17th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal and external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meetings on March 17th will be used.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
  • The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meetings on March 17th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meetings on March 17th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal and external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meetings on March 17th will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker