mentions

Trump holds Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?

Held

Fri, Oct 23

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

22 said 16 not said of 38 words

Not held 27 of 363 past Trump events, 0 of 22 rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Rallies Official rallies · 5 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore33¢ All61/177 34% Rallies6/19 32% Official rallies0/5 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All27/92 29% Rallies8/21 38% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies1/5 20% —
YES Before startBefore86¢ All38/87 44% Rallies12/17 71% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All11/28 39% Rallies5/12 42% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All9/99 9% Rallies0/17 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All22/40 55% Rallies15/18 83% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/239 4% Rallies0/20 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All5/12 42% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All3/26 12% Rallies2/15 13% Official rallies0/5 0% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All3/19 16% Rallies1/16 6% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All19/28 68% Rallies15/15 100% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All13/48 27% Rallies7/19 37% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All5/22 23% Rallies3/3 100% small n Official rallies1/5 20% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All13/51 25% Rallies4/18 22% Official rallies2/5 40% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/11 0% Rallies0/11 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All1/1 100% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies0/5 0% Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All14/28 50% Rallies9/15 60% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All30/85 35% Rallies8/17 47% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All136/264 52% Rallies6/7 86% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All0/2 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All1/2 50% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies0/5 0% Y N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All2/7 29% Rallies— Official rallies3/5 60% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All18/29 62% Rallies11/17 65% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All48/104 46% Rallies5/13 38% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All13/29 45% Rallies10/16 63% Official rallies2/5 40% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All12/25 48% Rallies10/16 63% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All5/19 26% Rallies0/3 0% small n Official rallies0/5 0% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All4/4 100% Rallies3/3 100% small n Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All2/24 8% Rallies0/12 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All13/24 54% Rallies10/17 59% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All42/71 59% Rallies17/18 94% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All23/41 56% Rallies13/17 76% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All8/17 47% Rallies1/4 25% small n Official rallies2/5 40% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All85/169 50% Rallies5/5 100% Official rallies5/5 100% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All39/82 48% Rallies13/18 72% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All57/130 44% Rallies18/19 95% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All2/20 10% Rallies0/12 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker