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Trump makes an announcement on healthcare

What will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare?

Held

Fri, Sep 18

4:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Prescription Drug Prices and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

14 said 11 not said of 25 words

Not held 27 of 329 past Trump events, 12 of 185 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 393 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore43¢ All19/82 23% Speeches / ceremonies16/47 34% Official speeches / ceremonies66/393 17% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/393 5% N N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All203/276 74% Speeches / ceremonies114/157 73% Official speeches / ceremonies250/393 64% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies24/393 6% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All44/74 59% Speeches / ceremonies28/44 64% Official speeches / ceremonies207/393 53% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/209 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/123 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/393 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All4/4 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies51/393 13% Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All21/73 29% Speeches / ceremonies15/40 38% Official speeches / ceremonies69/393 18% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/393 1% —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/393 2% —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies47/393 12% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies133/393 34% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies74/393 19% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All6/6 100% Speeches / ceremonies5/5 100% Official speeches / ceremonies49/393 12% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/393 9% —
YES Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies23/393 6% —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All58/94 62% Speeches / ceremonies31/47 66% Official speeches / ceremonies194/393 49% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/393 4% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/393 3% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/393 9% —
NO Before startBefore41¢ All78/151 52% Speeches / ceremonies44/83 53% Official speeches / ceremonies113/393 29% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/393 5% —
YES Before startBefore64¢ All121/186 65% Speeches / ceremonies77/109 71% Official speeches / ceremonies215/393 55% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/393 3% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies7/12 58% Official speeches / ceremonies19/393 5% N Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement on Healthcare originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker