mentions

Trump makes an Announcement on Healthcare Affordability

What will Trump say during his announcement on Healthcare Affordability?

Held

Mon, Aug 31

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Efforts To Reduce Prescription Drug Prices and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

14 said 14 not said of 28 words

Not held 27 of 314 past Trump events, 12 of 176 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 382 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore78¢ All16/70 23% Speeches / ceremonies13/40 33% Official speeches / ceremonies63/382 16% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All49/132 37% Speeches / ceremonies34/72 47% Official speeches / ceremonies118/382 31% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/382 5% N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All193/262 74% Speeches / ceremonies107/149 72% Official speeches / ceremonies242/382 63% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/382 6% N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All8/71 11% Speeches / ceremonies2/33 6% Official speeches / ceremonies30/382 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All38/61 62% Speeches / ceremonies24/36 67% Official speeches / ceremonies202/382 53% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All27/58 47% Speeches / ceremonies14/27 52% Official speeches / ceremonies51/382 13% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/200 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/117 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/382 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All125/180 69% Speeches / ceremonies66/100 66% Official speeches / ceremonies205/382 54% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies47/382 12% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/382 3% N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All9/25 36% Speeches / ceremonies5/14 36% Official speeches / ceremonies53/382 14% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All18/64 28% Speeches / ceremonies12/34 35% Official speeches / ceremonies66/382 17% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All122/236 52% Speeches / ceremonies87/135 64% Official speeches / ceremonies153/382 40% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies44/382 12% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All40/52 77% Speeches / ceremonies20/29 69% Official speeches / ceremonies107/382 28% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All4/16 25% Speeches / ceremonies3/14 21% Official speeches / ceremonies30/382 8% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/382 2% N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All5/5 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies48/382 13% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/382 0% —
YES Before startBefore73¢ All48/80 60% Speeches / ceremonies25/39 64% Official speeches / ceremonies187/382 49% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/382 4% N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/382 0% —
NO Before startBefore64¢ All72/138 52% Speeches / ceremonies40/76 53% Official speeches / ceremonies107/382 28% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All114/174 66% Speeches / ceremonies73/103 71% Official speeches / ceremonies208/382 54% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All7/12 58% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies18/382 5% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/382 5% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on Healthcare Affordability, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Announcement on Healthcare Affordability using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Announcement on Healthcare Affordability will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker