mentions

Trump hosts a Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration

What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration?

Held

Wed, Sep 30

1:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a National Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration

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Also now Trump +2 later

17 said 5 not said of 22 words

Not held 27 of 337 past Trump events, 12 of 192 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 402 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore17¢ All53/152 35% Speeches / ceremonies37/86 43% Official speeches / ceremonies123/402 31% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All9/20 45% Speeches / ceremonies7/17 41% Official speeches / ceremonies36/402 9% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All206/284 73% Speeches / ceremonies116/164 71% Official speeches / ceremonies252/402 63% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All58/86 67% Speeches / ceremonies33/49 67% Official speeches / ceremonies217/402 54% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All49/80 61% Speeches / ceremonies32/49 65% Official speeches / ceremonies214/402 53% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All33/71 46% Speeches / ceremonies19/36 53% Official speeches / ceremonies58/402 14% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/215 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/128 5% Official speeches / ceremonies19/402 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies22/402 5% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All130/254 51% Speeches / ceremonies94/147 64% Official speeches / ceremonies162/402 40% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All5/25 20% Speeches / ceremonies3/11 27% Official speeches / ceremonies76/402 19% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies65/402 16% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore26¢ All21/41 51% Speeches / ceremonies14/24 58% Official speeches / ceremonies141/402 35% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore26¢ All17/31 55% Speeches / ceremonies13/16 81% Official speeches / ceremonies86/402 21% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore24¢ All2/10 20% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies53/402 13% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies84/402 21% N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All63/102 62% Speeches / ceremonies35/54 65% Official speeches / ceremonies198/402 49% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies60/402 15% N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies38/402 9% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All6/7 86% Speeches / ceremonies6/6 100% Official speeches / ceremonies101/402 25% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore31¢ All125/194 64% Speeches / ceremonies80/116 69% Official speeches / ceremonies218/402 54% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/402 6% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies134/402 33% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker