mentions

Trump makes an announcement

Mention: Trump makes an Announcement

Held

Thu, Feb 5

6:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Announcing the TrumpRX Prescription Drug Website and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

10 said 16 not said of 26 words

Not held 14 of 152 past Trump events, 7 of 87 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 263 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore80¢ All18/46 39% Speeches / ceremonies10/25 40% Official speeches / ceremonies28/263 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All14/26 54% Speeches / ceremonies11/16 69% Official speeches / ceremonies82/263 31% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/263 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/263 5% N N Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All99/125 79% Speeches / ceremonies55/72 76% Official speeches / ceremonies169/263 64% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All3/66 5% Speeches / ceremonies3/40 8% Official speeches / ceremonies14/263 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore84¢ All50/65 77% Speeches / ceremonies28/37 76% Official speeches / ceremonies138/263 52% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All4/21 19% Speeches / ceremonies1/13 8% Official speeches / ceremonies4/263 2% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies22/263 8% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/263 3% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All11/16 69% Speeches / ceremonies8/11 73% Official speeches / ceremonies38/263 14% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies20/263 8% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies129/263 49% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All58/99 59% Speeches / ceremonies41/56 73% Official speeches / ceremonies99/263 38% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore82¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/263 10% Y
NO Before startBefore— All12/19 63% Speeches / ceremonies8/12 67% Official speeches / ceremonies120/263 46% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All18/24 75% Speeches / ceremonies10/14 71% Official speeches / ceremonies84/263 32% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/263 7% N Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/263 15% Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All4/4 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/263 14% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/263 6% N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All16/47 34% Speeches / ceremonies6/24 25% Official speeches / ceremonies30/263 11% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All62/82 76% Speeches / ceremonies38/47 81% Official speeches / ceremonies148/263 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/263 2% Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies43/263 16% Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/263 5% N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The President makes an Announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The President makes an Announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The President makes an Announcement will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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