mentions.tools

We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

Trump holds Freedom 250 Grand Prix Showcase

What will Trump say during his Freedom 250 Grand Prix Showcase?

Held

Mon, Jul 13

1:30 PM ET /

Trump

Other

Official transcript Remarks at the Freedom 250 Grand Prix Showcase

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

3 said 22 not said of 25 words

Not held 24 of 268 past Trump events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Official transcripts · 667 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore90¢ All25/46 54% Official transcripts121/667 18% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All39/91 43% Official transcripts167/667 25% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All15/39 38% Official transcripts61/667 9% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All165/221 75% Official transcripts392/667 59% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All8/45 18% Official transcripts65/667 10% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All10/22 45% Official transcripts66/667 10% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All7/159 4% Official transcripts22/667 3% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore40¢ All102/146 70% Official transcripts320/667 48% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All7/17 41% Official transcripts18/667 3% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All18/31 58% Official transcripts189/667 28% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All8/21 38% Official transcripts31/667 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All15/44 34% Official transcripts37/667 6% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All106/196 54% Official transcripts194/667 29% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All8/9 89% Official transcripts114/667 17% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All30/54 56% Official transcripts182/667 27% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All20/43 47% Official transcripts152/667 23% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All83/113 73% Official transcripts267/667 40% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All49/75 65% Official transcripts241/667 36% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All7/8 88% Official transcripts43/667 6% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All57/98 58% Official transcripts150/667 22% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All15/42 36% Official transcripts107/667 16% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All97/143 68% Official transcripts333/667 50% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All23/70 33% Official transcripts114/667 17% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore20¢ All17/23 74% Official transcripts187/667 28% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All6/31 19% Official transcripts65/667 10% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official transcripts: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after July 8th, 2026 at 11:30 pm ET.
  • The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House livestream, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next White House livestream will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after July 8th, 2026 at 11:30 pm ET. The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker