mentions

Trump holds Rose Garden Club Dinner

What will Trump say during his Rose Garden Club Dinner?

Held

Thu, Jun 25

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner With Farmers

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Bernie Sanders Trump +2 later

17 said 10 not said of 27 words

Not held 24 of 255 past Trump events, 11 of 146 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 343 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore68¢ All23/41 56% Speeches / ceremonies17/23 74% Official speeches / ceremonies93/343 27% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All6/28 21% Speeches / ceremonies6/16 38% Official speeches / ceremonies54/343 16% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore27¢ All34/80 43% Speeches / ceremonies24/46 52% Official speeches / ceremonies106/343 31% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All11/27 41% Speeches / ceremonies5/15 33% Official speeches / ceremonies34/343 10% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/343 4% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All155/209 74% Speeches / ceremonies87/121 72% Official speeches / ceremonies218/343 64% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All18/26 69% Speeches / ceremonies16/21 76% Official speeches / ceremonies91/343 27% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All13/16 81% Speeches / ceremonies8/10 80% Official speeches / ceremonies182/343 53% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All5/146 3% Speeches / ceremonies5/88 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/343 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/343 1% Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All8/17 47% Speeches / ceremonies5/13 38% Official speeches / ceremonies35/343 10% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies6/12 50% Official speeches / ceremonies55/343 16% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/343 5% —
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/343 1% Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All12/33 36% Speeches / ceremonies9/20 45% Official speeches / ceremonies61/343 18% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All13/37 35% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies19/343 6% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All101/183 55% Speeches / ceremonies71/107 66% Official speeches / ceremonies136/343 40% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies158/343 46% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All18/19 95% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies88/343 26% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/343 1% Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All77/107 72% Speeches / ceremonies41/61 67% Official speeches / ceremonies137/343 40% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All40/65 62% Speeches / ceremonies18/36 50% Official speeches / ceremonies127/343 37% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/343 3% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All51/85 60% Speeches / ceremonies29/49 59% Official speeches / ceremonies95/343 28% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All92/136 68% Speeches / ceremonies60/83 72% Official speeches / ceremonies187/343 55% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All21/57 37% Speeches / ceremonies13/38 34% Official speeches / ceremonies74/343 22% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies21/343 6% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Rose Garden Club Dinner with American Farmers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Rose Garden Club Dinner with American Farmers will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rose Garden Club Dinner with American Farmers will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker