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Trump holds NATO Press Conference

What will Trump say during his Press Conference?

Held

Wed, Jul 8

11:15 AM ET /

Trump

Press conference

Official transcript The President's News Conference in Ankara, Turkey

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

13 said 16 not said of 29 words

Not held 24 of 266 past Trump events, 2 of 15 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Press conferences Official press conferences · 20 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore39¢ All38/89 43% Press conferences1/3 33% small n Official press conferences7/20 35% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All15/37 41% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences3/20 15% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All163/219 74% Press conferences10/12 83% Official press conferences16/20 80% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All8/43 19% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Official press conferences7/20 35% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All18/24 75% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences12/20 60% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All7/157 4% Press conferences0/4 0% small n Official press conferences0/20 0% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All9/26 35% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences5/20 25% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All61/90 68% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Official press conferences15/20 75% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences2/20 10% N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All8/20 40% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences2/20 10% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All14/42 33% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Official press conferences2/20 10% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All106/194 55% Press conferences3/7 43% Official press conferences8/20 40% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All28/52 54% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences12/20 60% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All0/2 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences2/20 10% N N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All4/15 27% Press conferences1/2 50% small n Official press conferences8/20 40% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All1/4 25% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/20 20% N N N Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All12/26 46% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Official press conferences12/20 60% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All81/111 73% Press conferences8/9 89% Official press conferences15/20 75% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All48/73 66% Press conferences3/7 43% Official press conferences14/20 70% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All2/7 29% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences5/20 25% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore80¢ All18/39 46% Press conferences2/4 50% small n Official press conferences13/20 65% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/3 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences3/20 15% N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All1/1 100% Press conferences— Official press conferences0/20 0% Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences2/20 10% N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All57/96 59% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences4/20 20% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All96/142 68% Press conferences1/4 25% small n Official press conferences12/20 60% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All23/68 34% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/20 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore88¢ All26/49 53% Press conferences2/4 50% small n Official press conferences14/20 70% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All6/30 20% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences2/20 10% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official press conferences: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Press Conference in Turkey, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Press Conference in Turkey will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference in Turkey will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker