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Trump signs Executive Orders

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Held

Mon, Jun 29

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing a Memorandum on Lowering the Cost of Living by Promoting the Freedom To Fix and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

8 said 17 not said of 25 words

Not held 24 of 257 past Trump events, 11 of 148 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 346 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore83¢ All25/43 58% Speeches / ceremonies19/25 76% Official speeches / ceremonies96/346 28% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/346 2% N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All12/29 41% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies35/346 10% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All157/211 74% Speeches / ceremonies89/123 72% Official speeches / ceremonies220/346 64% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore52¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/346 2% —
NO Before startBefore65¢ All8/41 20% Speeches / ceremonies2/18 11% Official speeches / ceremonies30/346 9% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All6/16 38% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies37/346 11% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All5/148 3% Speeches / ceremonies5/90 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/346 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All98/138 71% Speeches / ceremonies53/80 66% Official speeches / ceremonies186/346 54% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All6/10 60% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies10/346 3% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All17/27 63% Speeches / ceremonies12/18 67% Official speeches / ceremonies118/346 34% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All13/38 34% Speeches / ceremonies6/19 32% Official speeches / ceremonies20/346 6% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All103/185 56% Speeches / ceremonies73/109 67% Official speeches / ceremonies138/346 40% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore85¢ All20/21 95% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies90/346 26% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All26/48 54% Speeches / ceremonies12/28 43% Official speeches / ceremonies99/346 29% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All78/108 72% Speeches / ceremonies42/62 68% Official speeches / ceremonies139/346 40% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All42/67 63% Speeches / ceremonies20/38 53% Official speeches / ceremonies129/346 37% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies22/346 6% Y N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies5/5 100% Official speeches / ceremonies26/346 8% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All53/87 61% Speeches / ceremonies31/51 61% Official speeches / ceremonies97/346 28% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All11/35 31% Speeches / ceremonies8/24 33% Official speeches / ceremonies71/346 21% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All93/137 68% Speeches / ceremonies61/84 73% Official speeches / ceremonies189/346 55% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All4/15 27% Speeches / ceremonies1/10 10% Official speeches / ceremonies36/346 10% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All22/59 37% Speeches / ceremonies14/40 35% Official speeches / ceremonies75/346 22% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All16/21 76% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies104/346 30% Y Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after June 29th, 2026 at 12:30 pm ET.
  • The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House livestream, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next White House livestream will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after June 29th, 2026 at 12:30 pm ET. The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

All cases of this speaker