mentions

Trump participates in a Rose Garden dinner

What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner?

Held

Thu, Sep 17

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

3 said 26 not said of 29 words

Not held 27 of 328 past Trump events, 12 of 184 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 392 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore29¢ All51/144 35% Speeches / ceremonies35/79 44% Official speeches / ceremonies120/392 31% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All8/27 30% Speeches / ceremonies7/19 37% Official speeches / ceremonies59/392 15% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore76¢ All21/58 36% Speeches / ceremonies16/46 35% Official speeches / ceremonies56/392 14% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All202/275 73% Speeches / ceremonies113/156 72% Official speeches / ceremonies249/392 64% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All58/85 68% Speeches / ceremonies33/48 69% Official speeches / ceremonies214/392 55% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All44/73 60% Speeches / ceremonies28/43 65% Official speeches / ceremonies207/392 53% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore65¢ All32/69 46% Speeches / ceremonies18/34 53% Official speeches / ceremonies55/392 14% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/208 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/122 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/392 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore90¢ All131/190 69% Speeches / ceremonies69/105 66% Official speeches / ceremonies211/392 54% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore73¢ All74/113 65% Speeches / ceremonies47/73 64% Official speeches / ceremonies232/392 59% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All58/107 54% Speeches / ceremonies34/60 57% Official speeches / ceremonies142/392 36% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All21/72 29% Speeches / ceremonies15/39 38% Official speeches / ceremonies69/392 18% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All127/248 51% Speeches / ceremonies91/141 65% Official speeches / ceremonies158/392 40% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore54¢ All20/38 53% Speeches / ceremonies13/21 62% Official speeches / ceremonies139/392 35% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All44/58 76% Speeches / ceremonies21/31 68% Official speeches / ceremonies111/392 28% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All42/86 49% Speeches / ceremonies17/49 35% Official speeches / ceremonies109/392 28% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All20/44 45% Speeches / ceremonies10/21 48% Official speeches / ceremonies92/392 23% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies45/392 11% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies51/392 13% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies42/392 11% N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies83/392 21% —
NO Before startBefore55¢ All90/125 72% Speeches / ceremonies47/70 67% Official speeches / ceremonies165/392 42% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All57/93 61% Speeches / ceremonies30/46 65% Official speeches / ceremonies193/392 49% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All45/89 51% Speeches / ceremonies28/50 56% Official speeches / ceremonies105/392 27% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore81¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies176/392 45% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore63¢ All78/150 52% Speeches / ceremonies44/82 54% Official speeches / ceremonies113/392 29% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All121/185 65% Speeches / ceremonies77/108 71% Official speeches / ceremonies215/392 55% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies122/392 31% Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies54/392 14% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Rose Garden dinner originally scheduled for September 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Rose Garden dinner originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rose Garden dinner originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker