mentions

Trump delivers remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina

What will Trump say during remarks in North Carolina?

Held

Wed, Sep 16

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Campaign Rally for North Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Michael D. Whatley in Gastonia, North Carolina

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Also now Trump +2 later

27 said 21 not said of 48 words

Not held 27 of 325 past Trump events, 12 of 183 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 392 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore86¢ All18/79 23% Speeches / ceremonies15/46 33% Official speeches / ceremonies65/392 17% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All51/141 36% Speeches / ceremonies35/78 45% Official speeches / ceremonies120/392 31% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore83¢ All21/71 30% Speeches / ceremonies10/41 24% Official speeches / ceremonies51/392 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All26/72 36% Speeches / ceremonies19/44 43% Official speeches / ceremonies47/392 12% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All199/272 73% Speeches / ceremonies112/155 72% Official speeches / ceremonies249/392 64% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All8/80 10% Speeches / ceremonies2/38 5% Official speeches / ceremonies30/392 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies62/392 16% —
YES Before startBefore69¢ All7/24 29% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies69/392 18% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All43/70 61% Speeches / ceremonies27/42 64% Official speeches / ceremonies207/392 53% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All31/66 47% Speeches / ceremonies17/33 52% Official speeches / ceremonies55/392 14% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All9/207 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/121 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/392 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All1/8 13% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies11/392 3% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/392 6% Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All3/12 25% Speeches / ceremonies3/9 33% Official speeches / ceremonies10/392 3% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All8/33 24% Speeches / ceremonies5/22 23% Official speeches / ceremonies35/392 9% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All10/14 71% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies73/392 19% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/392 6% —
YES Before startBefore94¢ All57/106 54% Speeches / ceremonies33/59 56% Official speeches / ceremonies142/392 36% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/392 3% —
NO Before startBefore69¢ All10/28 36% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies54/392 14% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/392 4% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All20/69 29% Speeches / ceremonies14/38 37% Official speeches / ceremonies69/392 18% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies34/392 9% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All21/38 55% Speeches / ceremonies16/26 62% Official speeches / ceremonies62/392 16% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All126/245 51% Speeches / ceremonies90/140 64% Official speeches / ceremonies158/392 40% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies17/392 4% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All4/24 17% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies75/392 19% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All43/64 67% Speeches / ceremonies27/43 63% Official speeches / ceremonies178/392 45% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All42/85 49% Speeches / ceremonies17/48 35% Official speeches / ceremonies109/392 28% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All3/15 20% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies47/392 12% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All16/30 53% Speeches / ceremonies12/15 80% Official speeches / ceremonies84/392 21% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/392 10% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All19/41 46% Speeches / ceremonies9/20 45% Official speeches / ceremonies92/392 23% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore86¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies70/392 18% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore70¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies104/392 27% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All56/90 62% Speeches / ceremonies29/45 64% Official speeches / ceremonies193/392 49% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies42/392 11% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/392 6% N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All23/49 47% Speeches / ceremonies8/20 40% Official speeches / ceremonies40/392 10% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All77/147 52% Speeches / ceremonies43/81 53% Official speeches / ceremonies113/392 29% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All26/63 41% Speeches / ceremonies19/43 44% Official speeches / ceremonies88/392 22% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All120/182 66% Speeches / ceremonies76/107 71% Official speeches / ceremonies215/392 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All40/111 36% Speeches / ceremonies23/67 34% Official speeches / ceremonies86/392 22% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies24/392 6% Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies19/392 5% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/392 2% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All8/27 30% Speeches / ceremonies5/19 26% Official speeches / ceremonies26/392 7% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All1/13 8% Speeches / ceremonies1/12 8% Official speeches / ceremonies6/392 2% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina originally scheduled for September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker