mentions

Trump holds bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland

What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?

Held

Sat, Sep 12

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Micheál Martin of Ireland and an Exchange With Reporters in Dublin, Ireland

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Also now Trump +2 later

7 said 19 not said of 26 words

Not held 27 of 323 past Trump events, 11 of 51 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 112 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore3¢ All18/77 23% Meetings0/5 0% Official meetings11/112 10% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All50/139 36% Meetings5/15 33% Official meetings33/112 29% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All21/69 30% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings4/112 4% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All198/270 73% Meetings31/38 82% Official meetings74/112 66% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All8/78 10% Meetings2/13 15% Official meetings15/112 13% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All42/68 62% Meetings4/5 80% Official meetings69/112 62% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/205 4% Meetings0/26 0% Official meetings2/112 2% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings4/112 4% —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/112 0% —
NO Before startBefore4¢ All3/4 75% Meetings— Official meetings30/112 27% N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All56/104 54% Meetings5/9 56% Official meetings35/112 31% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All2/7 29% Meetings— Official meetings9/112 8% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All8/23 35% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings7/112 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All125/243 51% Meetings12/34 35% Official meetings22/112 20% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All0/7 0% Meetings0/4 0% small n Official meetings23/112 21% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All12/14 86% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings52/112 46% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All43/57 75% Meetings8/8 100% Official meetings34/112 30% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings1/112 1% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All41/84 49% Meetings8/13 62% Official meetings40/112 36% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All21/50 42% Meetings8/12 67% Official meetings48/112 43% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All54/88 61% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings55/112 49% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All12/18 67% Meetings2/5 40% Official meetings69/112 62% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All76/145 52% Meetings7/15 47% Official meetings22/112 20% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All118/180 66% Meetings21/31 68% Official meetings64/112 57% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All31/62 50% Meetings9/13 69% Official meetings68/112 61% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All8/26 31% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings12/112 11% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on September 12, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker