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Trump delivers remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders

What will Trump say during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders?

Held

Sat, Sep 12

11:30 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks to United States Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders in Dublin, Ireland

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +2 later

17 said 10 not said of 27 words

Not held 27 of 324 past Trump events, 12 of 182 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 390 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore1¢ All18/78 23% Speeches / ceremonies15/45 33% Official speeches / ceremonies65/390 17% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All50/140 36% Speeches / ceremonies34/77 44% Official speeches / ceremonies119/390 31% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies59/390 15% N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All21/70 30% Speeches / ceremonies10/40 25% Official speeches / ceremonies51/390 13% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All198/271 73% Speeches / ceremonies111/154 72% Official speeches / ceremonies248/390 64% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All8/79 10% Speeches / ceremonies2/37 5% Official speeches / ceremonies30/390 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All42/69 61% Speeches / ceremonies26/41 63% Official speeches / ceremonies206/390 53% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All30/65 46% Speeches / ceremonies16/32 50% Official speeches / ceremonies54/390 14% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/206 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/120 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/390 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All128/187 68% Speeches / ceremonies68/104 65% Official speeches / ceremonies210/390 54% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All56/105 53% Speeches / ceremonies32/58 55% Official speeches / ceremonies141/390 36% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All10/18 56% Speeches / ceremonies7/15 47% Official speeches / ceremonies63/390 16% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All19/64 30% Speeches / ceremonies8/33 24% Official speeches / ceremonies32/390 8% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All125/244 51% Speeches / ceremonies89/139 64% Official speeches / ceremonies157/390 40% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All12/15 80% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies187/390 48% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All15/24 63% Speeches / ceremonies9/12 75% Official speeches / ceremonies180/390 46% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All18/40 45% Speeches / ceremonies8/19 42% Official speeches / ceremonies91/390 23% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All21/51 41% Speeches / ceremonies6/23 26% Official speeches / ceremonies76/390 19% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All17/45 38% Speeches / ceremonies6/19 32% Official speeches / ceremonies92/390 24% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All90/124 73% Speeches / ceremonies47/69 68% Official speeches / ceremonies165/390 42% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All55/89 62% Speeches / ceremonies28/44 64% Official speeches / ceremonies192/390 49% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All43/86 50% Speeches / ceremonies28/49 57% Official speeches / ceremonies105/390 27% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All12/19 63% Speeches / ceremonies5/7 71% Official speeches / ceremonies159/390 41% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All76/146 52% Speeches / ceremonies42/80 53% Official speeches / ceremonies112/390 29% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All25/62 40% Speeches / ceremonies18/42 43% Official speeches / ceremonies87/390 22% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All119/181 66% Speeches / ceremonies75/106 71% Official speeches / ceremonies213/390 55% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All31/63 49% Speeches / ceremonies13/34 38% Official speeches / ceremonies117/390 30% N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker