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Trump hosts the 48th Kennedy Center Honors

What will Trump say during the Kennedy Center Honors?

Not held (all words NO)

Tue, Dec 23

8:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

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Also now ABC World News +1 later

0 said 18 not said of 18 words

Not held 10 of 119 past Trump events, 6 of 72 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 246 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore19¢ All10/20 50% Speeches / ceremonies7/13 54% Official speeches / ceremonies24/246 10% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All6/14 43% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies21/246 9% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore93¢ All80/97 82% Speeches / ceremonies48/59 81% Official speeches / ceremonies159/246 65% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/246 3% N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All37/59 63% Speeches / ceremonies22/35 63% Official speeches / ceremonies133/246 54% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All44/63 70% Speeches / ceremonies30/44 68% Official speeches / ceremonies131/246 53% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All2/43 5% Speeches / ceremonies2/28 7% Official speeches / ceremonies12/246 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All36/48 75% Speeches / ceremonies23/31 74% Official speeches / ceremonies125/246 51% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All13/26 50% Speeches / ceremonies7/16 44% Official speeches / ceremonies78/246 32% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All30/45 67% Speeches / ceremonies19/29 66% Official speeches / ceremonies140/246 57% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All45/75 60% Speeches / ceremonies34/46 74% Official speeches / ceremonies90/246 37% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All13/24 54% Speeches / ceremonies9/16 56% Official speeches / ceremonies84/246 34% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All13/27 48% Speeches / ceremonies5/15 33% Official speeches / ceremonies58/246 24% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All51/67 76% Speeches / ceremonies32/40 80% Official speeches / ceremonies135/246 55% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/13 8% Speeches / ceremonies0/9 0% Official speeches / ceremonies41/246 17% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All33/36 92% Speeches / ceremonies23/25 92% Official speeches / ceremonies135/246 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore98¢ All11/18 61% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies136/246 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All3/21 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/14 7% Official speeches / ceremonies30/246 12% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • If an extended version is released, additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of 48th Kennedy Center Honors, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the 48th Kennedy Center Honors will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the 48th Kennedy Center Honors will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. If an extended version is released, additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will count.

Cases

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