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Trump delivers a Fostering the Future Announcement

What will Trump say during his Fostering the Future Announcement?

Not held (DNQ)

Thu, Aug 20

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

0 said 23 not said of 23 words

Not held 26 of 306 past Trump events, 11 of 172 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 378 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore19¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/378 1% Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All13/63 21% Speeches / ceremonies12/37 32% Official speeches / ceremonies62/378 16% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All48/125 38% Speeches / ceremonies33/69 48% Official speeches / ceremonies117/378 31% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All19/58 33% Speeches / ceremonies10/35 29% Official speeches / ceremonies50/378 13% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All9/18 50% Speeches / ceremonies7/16 44% Official speeches / ceremonies34/378 9% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All190/255 75% Speeches / ceremonies107/146 73% Official speeches / ceremonies242/378 64% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All8/66 12% Speeches / ceremonies2/31 6% Official speeches / ceremonies30/378 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies154/378 41% —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All34/55 62% Speeches / ceremonies22/33 67% Official speeches / ceremonies200/378 53% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All9/193 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/114 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/378 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All121/174 70% Speeches / ceremonies64/97 66% Official speeches / ceremonies203/378 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies119/378 31% Y N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All72/109 66% Speeches / ceremonies45/69 65% Official speeches / ceremonies224/378 59% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All51/93 55% Speeches / ceremonies30/53 57% Official speeches / ceremonies137/378 36% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/378 2% —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All17/59 29% Speeches / ceremonies12/33 36% Official speeches / ceremonies66/378 17% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All120/230 52% Speeches / ceremonies87/133 65% Official speeches / ceremonies153/378 40% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All14/21 67% Speeches / ceremonies9/11 82% Official speeches / ceremonies172/378 46% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All12/30 40% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies88/378 23% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All35/76 46% Speeches / ceremonies24/44 55% Official speeches / ceremonies98/378 26% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/378 3% Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All67/132 51% Speeches / ceremonies38/74 51% Official speeches / ceremonies105/378 28% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All34/101 34% Speeches / ceremonies20/62 32% Official speeches / ceremonies82/378 22% N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the THE PRESIDENT and THE FIRST LADY participate in a Fostering the Future Announcement using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT and THE FIRST LADY participate in a Fostering the Future Announcement will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT and THE FIRST LADY participate in a Fostering the Future Announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the THE PRESIDENT and THE FIRST LADY participate in a Fostering the Future Announcement using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT and THE FIRST LADY participate in a Fostering the Future Announcement will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker