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Trump holds Tele-Rally

What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally?

Held

Mon, Jun 8

5:30 PM ET /

Trump

Tele-rally

Official transcript Remarks During a Telerally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Lindsey O. Graham and Gubernatorial Candidate Lieutenant Governor Pamela S. Evette of South Carolina

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +2 later

10 said 11 not said of 21 words

Not held 21 of 235 past Trump events, 0 of 6 tele-rallies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Tele-rallies Official tele-rallies · 11 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore13¢ All17/26 65% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All5/21 24% Tele-rallies0/2 0% small n Official tele-rallies3/11 27% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All29/67 43% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore40¢ All10/26 38% Tele-rallies1/1 100% small n Official tele-rallies1/11 9% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All6/18 33% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/11 0% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All143/193 74% Tele-rallies4/6 67% Official tele-rallies6/11 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All8/37 22% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All4/5 80% Tele-rallies1/1 100% small n Official tele-rallies1/11 9% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All5/129 4% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All89/125 71% Tele-rallies4/5 80% Official tele-rallies9/11 82% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All9/27 33% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/11 9% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All96/170 56% Tele-rallies1/5 20% Official tele-rallies1/11 9% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore76¢ All14/37 38% Tele-rallies4/4 100% small n Official tele-rallies3/11 27% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore23¢ All9/9 100% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/2 0% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N N
YES Before startBefore49¢ All5/6 83% Tele-rallies0/1 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/11 9% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore21¢ All2/6 33% Tele-rallies0/2 0% small n Official tele-rallies1/11 9% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore29¢ All23/37 62% Tele-rallies0/2 0% small n Official tele-rallies5/11 45% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All1/11 9% Tele-rallies— Official tele-rallies0/11 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All40/68 59% Tele-rallies0/2 0% small n Official tele-rallies2/11 18% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All15/48 31% Tele-rallies1/2 50% small n Official tele-rallies8/11 73% N Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official tele-rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Tele-rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
  • The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Lindsey Graham Tele-Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Lindsey Graham Tele-Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Lindsey Graham Tele-Rally will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original call will not count.
The entirety of content within the original call will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker