mentions

Trump holds bilateral with the President of France

What will Trump say during his bilateral with the President of France?

Held

Mon, Jun 15

11:30 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Emmanuel Macron of France and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France

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Also now Trump +2 later

6 said 16 not said of 22 words

Not held 21 of 239 past Trump events, 7 of 37 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 99 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore31¢ All18/30 60% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings9/99 9% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All29/70 41% Meetings2/7 29% Official meetings28/99 28% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All147/197 75% Meetings24/28 86% Official meetings65/99 66% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All5/133 4% Meetings0/17 0% Official meetings1/99 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All10/10 100% Meetings2/2 100% small n Official meetings80/99 81% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All92/128 72% Meetings13/18 72% Official meetings45/99 45% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All30/50 60% Meetings3/4 75% small n Official meetings32/99 32% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All10/12 83% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings37/99 37% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All9/26 35% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings2/99 2% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All11/11 100% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings22/99 22% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All19/36 53% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings34/99 34% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All0/6 0% Meetings— Official meetings1/99 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All19/36 53% Meetings7/8 88% Official meetings43/99 43% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All12/17 71% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings30/99 30% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All29/54 54% Meetings6/8 75% Official meetings34/99 34% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All14/34 41% Meetings3/8 38% Official meetings44/99 44% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All10/29 34% Meetings5/10 50% Official meetings20/99 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All3/3 100% Meetings— Official meetings64/99 65% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore24¢ All42/72 58% Meetings3/6 50% Official meetings16/99 16% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All90/131 69% Meetings18/24 75% Official meetings58/99 59% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore58¢ All21/41 51% Meetings5/5 100% Official meetings62/99 63% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore27¢ All3/11 27% Meetings— Official meetings7/99 7% Y N N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meetings with The President of the French Republic, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meetings with The President of the French Republic will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meetings with The President of the French Republic will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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