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Trump holds bilateral meetings with Brazil

What will Trump say during his bilateral meetings with Brazil?

Not held (DNQ)

Thu, May 7

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

0 said 25 not said of 25 words

Not held 20 of 214 past Trump events, 6 of 33 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 96 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore28¢ All24/51 47% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings28/96 29% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings2/96 2% N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All15/39 38% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings10/96 10% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All131/175 75% Meetings23/25 92% Official meetings64/96 67% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All50/73 68% Meetings7/12 58% Official meetings44/96 46% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All4/9 44% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings3/96 3% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore79¢ All72/108 67% Meetings12/16 75% Official meetings57/96 59% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/112 4% Meetings0/15 0% Official meetings1/96 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings2/96 2% N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All80/108 74% Meetings12/16 75% Official meetings44/96 46% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All45/66 68% Meetings8/11 73% Official meetings55/96 57% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All6/15 40% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings6/96 6% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All2/3 67% Meetings— Official meetings36/96 38% Y Y N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All12/20 60% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings30/96 31% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore39¢ All84/150 56% Meetings9/23 39% Official meetings18/96 19% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore91¢ All38/55 69% Meetings3/4 75% small n Official meetings42/96 44% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All6/26 23% Meetings1/7 14% Official meetings1/96 1% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All5/6 83% Meetings— Official meetings22/96 23% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore68¢ All26/48 54% Meetings5/7 71% Official meetings33/96 34% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All10/25 40% Meetings5/8 63% Official meetings20/96 21% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All30/50 60% Meetings2/3 67% small n Official meetings15/96 16% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore92¢ All82/117 70% Meetings17/21 81% Official meetings57/96 59% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All10/35 29% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings13/96 14% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore81¢ All10/15 67% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings21/96 22% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All2/7 29% Meetings— Official meetings6/96 6% Y N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker