mentions

Trump holds Midterm Rally in San Antonio, Texas

What will Trump say during his rally in Texas?

Held

Wed, Oct 7

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

20 said 22 not said of 42 words

Not held 27 of 346 past Trump events, 0 of 10 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Rallies Official rallies · 5 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore86¢ All23/91 25% Rallies4/5 80% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All57/161 35% Rallies2/7 29% Official rallies0/5 0% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All24/79 30% Rallies5/9 56% Official rallies3/5 60% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore79¢ All30/77 39% Rallies4/7 57% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All7/18 39% Rallies1/2 50% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All9/87 10% Rallies0/5 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore97¢ All13/30 43% Rallies6/8 75% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore80¢ All57/89 64% Rallies4/5 80% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/223 4% Rallies0/8 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All2/14 14% Rallies1/4 25% small n Official rallies0/5 0% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All2/7 29% Rallies0/4 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All8/17 47% Rallies4/4 100% small n Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All9/38 24% Rallies3/9 33% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All67/119 56% Rallies7/8 88% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All11/38 29% Rallies2/6 33% Official rallies2/5 40% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All2/10 20% Rallies0/5 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All25/78 32% Rallies4/8 50% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All8/16 50% Rallies3/3 100% small n Official rallies2/5 40% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All26/47 55% Rallies5/7 71% Official rallies3/5 60% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore55¢ All24/73 33% Rallies2/5 40% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All8/30 27% Rallies4/5 80% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All10/17 59% Rallies3/5 60% Official rallies2/5 40% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All44/94 47% Rallies1/3 33% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All5/17 29% Rallies2/4 50% small n Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All6/12 50% Rallies4/4 100% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All71/110 65% Rallies6/7 86% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/1 0% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies0/5 0% N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All2/13 15% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% —
NO Before startBefore73¢ All6/12 50% Rallies3/5 60% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore25¢ All4/9 44% Rallies1/4 25% small n Official rallies2/5 40% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All30/58 52% Rallies5/6 83% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore77¢ All14/31 45% Rallies4/7 57% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore48¢ All31/71 44% Rallies5/8 63% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All1/2 50% Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% Y N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All2/3 67% Rallies— Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies1/5 20% —
YES Before startBefore96¢ All45/118 38% Rallies7/8 88% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All2/9 22% Rallies0/3 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore11¢ All9/21 43% Rallies0/4 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All3/3 100% Rallies— Official rallies5/5 100% Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Midterm Rally in San Antonio, Texas originally scheduled for October 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally in San Antonio, Texas originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in San Antonio, Texas originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker