mentions

Trump delivers remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

Held

Thu, Sep 24

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Welcoming Ceremony for President Xi Jinping of China

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

3 said 24 not said of 27 words

Not held 27 of 333 past Trump events, 12 of 188 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 395 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore29¢ All52/148 35% Speeches / ceremonies36/82 44% Official speeches / ceremonies122/395 31% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All205/280 73% Speeches / ceremonies115/160 72% Official speeches / ceremonies251/395 64% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies279/395 71% Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/395 7% —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies68/395 17% —
NO Before startBefore23¢ All8/8 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies292/395 74% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies166/395 42% Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All60/110 55% Speeches / ceremonies35/62 56% Official speeches / ceremonies144/395 36% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies87/395 22% —
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/395 2% —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All14/17 82% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies191/395 48% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All17/28 61% Speeches / ceremonies11/14 79% Official speeches / ceremonies183/395 46% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies71/395 18% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All3/10 30% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies46/395 12% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/395 1% —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All92/128 72% Speeches / ceremonies48/72 67% Official speeches / ceremonies167/395 42% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All61/98 62% Speeches / ceremonies33/50 66% Official speeches / ceremonies196/395 50% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore34¢ All16/31 52% Speeches / ceremonies10/18 56% Official speeches / ceremonies115/395 29% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All2/10 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies32/395 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies30/395 8% N N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All15/22 68% Speeches / ceremonies7/9 78% Official speeches / ceremonies161/395 41% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies10/395 3% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All80/155 52% Speeches / ceremonies45/86 52% Official speeches / ceremonies114/395 29% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All2/14 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies25/395 6% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All124/190 65% Speeches / ceremonies79/112 71% Official speeches / ceremonies217/395 55% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All31/64 48% Speeches / ceremonies13/35 37% Official speeches / ceremonies118/395 30% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies90/395 23% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker