mentions

Donald Trump addresses the United Nations General Assembly

What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

Held

Tue, Sep 22

9:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

22 said 15 not said of 37 words

Not held 27 of 331 past Trump events, 12 of 187 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 394 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore86¢ All51/146 35% Speeches / ceremonies35/81 43% Official speeches / ceremonies121/394 31% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All23/74 31% Speeches / ceremonies10/42 24% Official speeches / ceremonies51/394 13% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore78¢ All204/278 73% Speeches / ceremonies115/159 72% Official speeches / ceremonies251/394 64% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/394 2% —
NO Before startBefore59¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies109/394 28% N Y Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All8/81 10% Speeches / ceremonies2/39 5% Official speeches / ceremonies30/394 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All45/76 59% Speeches / ceremonies29/46 63% Official speeches / ceremonies208/394 53% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All32/70 46% Speeches / ceremonies18/35 51% Official speeches / ceremonies56/394 14% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All9/211 4% Speeches / ceremonies7/125 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/394 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All1/9 11% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies11/394 3% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All131/192 68% Speeches / ceremonies69/107 64% Official speeches / ceremonies212/394 54% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/394 0% —
NO Before startBefore52¢ All10/29 34% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies54/394 14% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All24/42 57% Speeches / ceremonies16/26 62% Official speeches / ceremonies173/394 44% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/394 14% N N N Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All20/65 31% Speeches / ceremonies9/34 26% Official speeches / ceremonies33/394 8% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All127/250 51% Speeches / ceremonies91/143 64% Official speeches / ceremonies159/394 40% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All1/8 13% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/394 16% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All16/27 59% Speeches / ceremonies10/13 77% Official speeches / ceremonies182/394 46% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All42/87 48% Speeches / ceremonies17/50 34% Official speeches / ceremonies109/394 28% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All20/46 43% Speeches / ceremonies10/23 43% Official speeches / ceremonies92/394 23% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All1/18 6% Speeches / ceremonies1/13 8% Official speeches / ceremonies18/394 5% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All90/126 71% Speeches / ceremonies47/71 66% Official speeches / ceremonies166/394 42% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All59/96 61% Speeches / ceremonies32/49 65% Official speeches / ceremonies195/394 49% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies32/394 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All18/41 44% Speeches / ceremonies8/20 40% Official speeches / ceremonies93/394 24% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All12/35 34% Speeches / ceremonies6/19 32% Official speeches / ceremonies46/394 12% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All13/20 65% Speeches / ceremonies6/8 75% Official speeches / ceremonies160/394 41% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies119/394 30% Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All12/27 44% Speeches / ceremonies9/18 50% Official speeches / ceremonies63/394 16% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All78/153 51% Speeches / ceremonies44/85 52% Official speeches / ceremonies113/394 29% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All122/188 65% Speeches / ceremonies78/111 70% Official speeches / ceremonies216/394 55% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All6/16 38% Speeches / ceremonies5/10 50% Official speeches / ceremonies75/394 19% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All29/47 62% Speeches / ceremonies19/27 70% Official speeches / ceremonies231/394 59% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies42/394 11% —
YES Before startBefore93¢ All30/40 75% Speeches / ceremonies21/28 75% Official speeches / ceremonies128/394 32% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All8/28 29% Speeches / ceremonies5/20 25% Official speeches / ceremonies26/394 7% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Important information: To be clear, this event will resolve based on Donald Trump’s official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026.
  • Remarks at press conferences, interviews, side events, bilateral meetings, or separate statements will not count.
  • Markets may close and resolve after the address concludes and the outcomes are verified.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of the United Nations General Assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Important information: To be clear, this event will resolve based on Donald Trump’s official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026. Remarks at press conferences, interviews, side events, bilateral meetings, or separate statements will not count. Markets may close and resolve after the address concludes and the outcomes are verified.

How this is resolved
Video of the the United Nations General Assembly using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the United Nations General Assembly will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker