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Trump joins The Record with Greta Van Susteren

What will Trump say during his Newsmax interview?

Held

Thu, Apr 30

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

9 said 12 not said of 21 words

Not held 20 of 208 past Trump events, 1 of 24 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore22¢ All22/59 37% Interviews5/12 42% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All21/46 46% Interviews2/9 22% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All11/33 33% Interviews2/4 50% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All127/169 75% Interviews16/22 73% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All2/6 33% Interviews1/2 50% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All75/102 74% Interviews11/13 85% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore50¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All3/5 60% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All7/19 37% Interviews3/3 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All12/19 63% Interviews4/4 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All3/3 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All2/5 40% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All10/17 59% Interviews2/3 67% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All23/45 51% Interviews4/5 80% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All24/50 48% Interviews0/4 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% —
YES Before startBefore49¢ All0/6 0% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All27/46 59% Interviews6/9 67% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/4 25% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All9/31 29% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Newsmax: The Record with Greta Van Susteren, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Newsmax: The Record with Greta Van Susteren will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Newsmax: The Record with Greta Van Susteren will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker