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Trump holds rally with Darline Graham

What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?

Held

Fri, Aug 21

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Rally

Official transcript Remarks at a Campaign Rally for South Carolina Republican Senatorial Candidate Senator Darline Graham Nordone in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

23 said 12 not said of 35 words

Not held 27 of 307 past Trump events, 0 of 5 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Rallies Official rallies · 3 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore86¢ All13/63 21% Rallies— Official rallies1/3 33% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All48/125 38% Rallies0/2 0% small n Official rallies0/3 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All19/58 33% Rallies3/4 75% small n Official rallies2/3 67% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All9/18 50% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies3/3 100% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All24/63 38% Rallies0/2 0% small n Official rallies1/3 33% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All190/255 75% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/3 33% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All5/13 38% Rallies— Official rallies0/3 0% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All8/66 12% Rallies— Official rallies0/3 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All7/21 33% Rallies2/3 67% small n Official rallies2/3 67% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All34/55 62% Rallies— Official rallies2/3 67% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All24/53 45% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies3/3 100% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All9/193 5% Rallies0/3 0% small n Official rallies0/3 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All8/29 28% Rallies2/4 50% small n Official rallies1/3 33% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All8/10 80% Rallies— Official rallies1/3 33% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All51/93 55% Rallies2/3 67% small n Official rallies2/3 67% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All2/4 50% Rallies— Official rallies0/3 0% N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All22/39 56% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies3/3 100% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore74¢ All17/59 29% Rallies0/3 0% small n Official rallies0/3 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All8/14 57% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies2/3 67% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All18/33 55% Rallies0/2 0% small n Official rallies1/3 33% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore39¢ All17/61 28% Rallies— Official rallies1/3 33% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All120/230 52% Rallies2/3 67% small n Official rallies2/3 67% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All3/21 14% Rallies— Official rallies1/3 33% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All15/41 37% Rallies— Official rallies1/3 33% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All37/48 77% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies1/3 33% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All14/25 56% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies0/3 0% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All12/30 40% Rallies2/3 67% small n Official rallies2/3 67% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All0/1 0% Rallies— Official rallies0/3 0% N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All43/73 59% Rallies1/2 50% small n Official rallies2/3 67% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All35/76 46% Rallies1/3 33% small n Official rallies1/3 33% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All3/7 43% Rallies— Official rallies2/3 67% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All19/39 49% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies1/3 33% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All67/132 51% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies3/3 100% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore66¢ All23/58 40% Rallies1/3 33% small n Official rallies1/3 33% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All34/101 34% Rallies2/3 67% small n Official rallies2/3 67% N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Rally with Senator Darline Graham, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Rally with Senator Darline Graham will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rally with Senator Darline Graham will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker